Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate typical wet-season conditions with highs near 31–32°C on August 30, driven by high humidity, frequent convective cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit peak solar insolation and surface heating. Model consensus shows afternoon thunderstorm development, which can suppress maxima by 1–2°C through evaporative cooling and reduced radiation, while clearer morning periods or lighter winds may allow brief spikes toward 32°C. The closely matched 31°C and 32°C outcomes reflect this sensitivity to exact timing of convection and boundary-layer moisture in NOAA and regional guidance, with historical August baselines around 30–32°C providing context for the tight distribution. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 30?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 30?
32°C 37%
31°C 36%
33°C 10%
30°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
9%
31°C
36%
32°C
37%
33°C
10%
34°C or higher
4%
32°C 37%
31°C 36%
33°C 10%
30°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
24°C or below
$130 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$25 Vol.
1%
29°C
$111 Vol.
3%
30°C
$252 Vol.
9%
31°C
$65 Vol.
36%
32°C
$191 Vol.
37%
33°C
$316 Vol.
10%
34°C or higher
$47 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate typical wet-season conditions with highs near 31–32°C on August 30, driven by high humidity, frequent convective cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit peak solar insolation and surface heating. Model consensus shows afternoon thunderstorm development, which can suppress maxima by 1–2°C through evaporative cooling and reduced radiation, while clearer morning periods or lighter winds may allow brief spikes toward 32°C. The closely matched 31°C and 32°C outcomes reflect this sensitivity to exact timing of convection and boundary-layer moisture in NOAA and regional guidance, with historical August baselines around 30–32°C providing context for the tight distribution. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Volume
$1,407End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate typical wet-season conditions with highs near 31–32°C on August 30, driven by high humidity, frequent convective cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit peak solar insolation and surface heating. Model consensus shows afternoon thunderstorm development, which can suppress maxima by 1–2°C through evaporative cooling and reduced radiation, while clearer morning periods or lighter winds may allow brief spikes toward 32°C. The closely matched 31°C and 32°C outcomes reflect this sensitivity to exact timing of convection and boundary-layer moisture in NOAA and regional guidance, with historical August baselines around 30–32°C providing context for the tight distribution. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,407End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, indicate typical wet-season conditions with highs near 31–32°C on August 30, driven by high humidity, frequent convective cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit peak solar insolation and surface heating. Model consensus shows afternoon thunderstorm development, which can suppress maxima by 1–2°C through evaporative cooling and reduced radiation, while clearer morning periods or lighter winds may allow brief spikes toward 32°C. The closely matched 31°C and 32°C outcomes reflect this sensitivity to exact timing of convection and boundary-layer moisture in NOAA and regional guidance, with historical August baselines around 30–32°C providing context for the tight distribution. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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