**Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate daytime highs of 20–22°C in Moscow on September 3, 2026, under cloudy skies with scattered showers and possible thunderstorms.** Southwesterly winds of 6–11 m/s and widespread cloud cover are limiting surface heating, while atmospheric pressure near 746–760 mmHg supports stable but cool conditions typical for early September. Multiple numerical models and hourly projections converge on a peak near 19–20°C, consistent with the climatological average high of 19°C for the date. Light precipitation and high humidity further suppress temperatures by reducing insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Market-implied probabilities reflect this tight clustering, with 20°C leading at 54.5% and 19°C at 32.5%, as traders weigh the official upper-end guidance against real-time observational constraints from official stations. New model runs or afternoon observations could shift odds if clearing allows brief warming toward 21°C or if heavier rain caps the high at 18°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on September 3?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 3?
20°C 52%
19°C 33%
18°C 11%
21°C 7%
$11,534 Vol.
$11,534 Vol.
Sep 3, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
11%
19°C
33%
20°C
52%
21°C
7%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 52%
19°C 33%
18°C 11%
21°C 7%
$11,534 Vol.
$11,534 Vol.
Sep 3, 2026
15°C or below
$1,553 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,559 Vol.
1%
17°C
$926 Vol.
3%
18°C
$1,414 Vol.
11%
19°C
$1,699 Vol.
33%
20°C
$1,766 Vol.
52%
21°C
$636 Vol.
7%
22°C
$696 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$548 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$377 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$360 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate daytime highs of 20–22°C in Moscow on September 3, 2026, under cloudy skies with scattered showers and possible thunderstorms.** Southwesterly winds of 6–11 m/s and widespread cloud cover are limiting surface heating, while atmospheric pressure near 746–760 mmHg supports stable but cool conditions typical for early September.
Multiple numerical models and hourly projections converge on a peak near 19–20°C, consistent with the climatological average high of 19°C for the date. Light precipitation and high humidity further suppress temperatures by reducing insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Market-implied probabilities reflect this tight clustering, with 20°C leading at 54.5% and 19°C at 32.5%, as traders weigh the official upper-end guidance against real-time observational constraints from official stations. New model runs or afternoon observations could shift odds if clearing allows brief warming toward 21°C or if heavier rain caps the high at 18°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$11,534End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate daytime highs of 20–22°C in Moscow on September 3, 2026, under cloudy skies with scattered showers and possible thunderstorms.** Southwesterly winds of 6–11 m/s and widespread cloud cover are limiting surface heating, while atmospheric pressure near 746–760 mmHg supports stable but cool conditions typical for early September.
Multiple numerical models and hourly projections converge on a peak near 19–20°C, consistent with the climatological average high of 19°C for the date. Light precipitation and high humidity further suppress temperatures by reducing insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Market-implied probabilities reflect this tight clustering, with 20°C leading at 54.5% and 19°C at 32.5%, as traders weigh the official upper-end guidance against real-time observational constraints from official stations. New model runs or afternoon observations could shift odds if clearing allows brief warming toward 21°C or if heavier rain caps the high at 18°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,534End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate daytime highs of 20–22°C in Moscow on September 3, 2026, under cloudy skies with scattered showers and possible thunderstorms.** Southwesterly winds of 6–11 m/s and widespread cloud cover are limiting surface heating, while atmospheric pressure near 746–760 mmHg supports stable but cool conditions typical for early September. Multiple numerical models and hourly projections converge on a peak near 19–20°C, consistent with the climatological average high of 19°C for the date. Light precipitation and high humidity further suppress temperatures by reducing insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Market-implied probabilities reflect this tight clustering, with 20°C leading at 54.5% and 19°C at 32.5%, as traders weigh the official upper-end guidance against real-time observational constraints from official stations. New model runs or afternoon observations could shift odds if clearing allows brief warming toward 21°C or if heavier rain caps the high at 18°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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