Recent Hydrometeorological Center forecasts for Moscow on September 3, 2026, indicate an overnight low near 11°C, with regional potential dipping to 8°C amid southwest winds of 6–11 m/s, scattered showers, and variable cloud cover. These conditions moderate radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, keeping the daily minimum close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 10.3°C. Model consensus supports 10–13°C outcomes as most probable, with differentiation hinging on exact cloud timing, localized wind mixing, and station-specific readings; stronger cooling under breaks in cloud could push toward 8°C or below, while persistent overcast favors the higher end of that range. Updated observational data through the morning will refine the official daily minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Moscow on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 3?
8°C or below 98%
10°C 46%
11°C 46%
12°C 46%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
8°C or below
98%
9°C
3%
10°C
46%
11°C
46%
12°C
46%
13°C
46%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
8°C or below 98%
10°C 46%
11°C 46%
12°C 46%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
8°C or below
$12 Vol.
98%
9°C
$118 Vol.
3%
10°C
$0 Vol.
46%
11°C
$0 Vol.
46%
12°C
$0 Vol.
46%
13°C
$1 Vol.
46%
14°C
$175 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$51 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Hydrometeorological Center forecasts for Moscow on September 3, 2026, indicate an overnight low near 11°C, with regional potential dipping to 8°C amid southwest winds of 6–11 m/s, scattered showers, and variable cloud cover. These conditions moderate radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, keeping the daily minimum close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 10.3°C. Model consensus supports 10–13°C outcomes as most probable, with differentiation hinging on exact cloud timing, localized wind mixing, and station-specific readings; stronger cooling under breaks in cloud could push toward 8°C or below, while persistent overcast favors the higher end of that range. Updated observational data through the morning will refine the official daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$472End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Hydrometeorological Center forecasts for Moscow on September 3, 2026, indicate an overnight low near 11°C, with regional potential dipping to 8°C amid southwest winds of 6–11 m/s, scattered showers, and variable cloud cover. These conditions moderate radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, keeping the daily minimum close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 10.3°C. Model consensus supports 10–13°C outcomes as most probable, with differentiation hinging on exact cloud timing, localized wind mixing, and station-specific readings; stronger cooling under breaks in cloud could push toward 8°C or below, while persistent overcast favors the higher end of that range. Updated observational data through the morning will refine the official daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$472End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hydrometeorological Center forecasts for Moscow on September 3, 2026, indicate an overnight low near 11°C, with regional potential dipping to 8°C amid southwest winds of 6–11 m/s, scattered showers, and variable cloud cover. These conditions moderate radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, keeping the daily minimum close to the 1991–2020 climatological average of 10.3°C. Model consensus supports 10–13°C outcomes as most probable, with differentiation hinging on exact cloud timing, localized wind mixing, and station-specific readings; stronger cooling under breaks in cloud could push toward 8°C or below, while persistent overcast favors the higher end of that range. Updated observational data through the morning will refine the official daily minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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