Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a daytime high of 16–17°C in Cape Town on August 31, driven by southerly winds under a building high-pressure ridge following a recent cold front. Clear to mostly sunny skies and dry air will limit daytime heating, while typical late-winter sea-surface temperatures and moderate wind speeds around 8–14 mph further cap warming potential. The narrow spread between 17°C and 18°C odds reflects minor model differences in peak afternoon temperatures, with historical August averages near 17–18°C providing context for the tight market. Updated guidance from the South African Weather Service or refined model runs in the next 48 hours could shift resolution probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 31?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 31?
17°C 35%
18°C 32%
16°C 13%
19°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
13%
17°C
35%
18°C
32%
19°C
7%
20°C
4%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 35%
18°C 32%
16°C 13%
19°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$130 Vol.
1%
14°C
$0 Vol.
2%
15°C
$0 Vol.
5%
16°C
$223 Vol.
13%
17°C
$256 Vol.
35%
18°C
$15 Vol.
32%
19°C
$377 Vol.
7%
20°C
$49 Vol.
4%
21°C
$42 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$16 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a daytime high of 16–17°C in Cape Town on August 31, driven by southerly winds under a building high-pressure ridge following a recent cold front. Clear to mostly sunny skies and dry air will limit daytime heating, while typical late-winter sea-surface temperatures and moderate wind speeds around 8–14 mph further cap warming potential. The narrow spread between 17°C and 18°C odds reflects minor model differences in peak afternoon temperatures, with historical August averages near 17–18°C providing context for the tight market. Updated guidance from the South African Weather Service or refined model runs in the next 48 hours could shift resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,110End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a daytime high of 16–17°C in Cape Town on August 31, driven by southerly winds under a building high-pressure ridge following a recent cold front. Clear to mostly sunny skies and dry air will limit daytime heating, while typical late-winter sea-surface temperatures and moderate wind speeds around 8–14 mph further cap warming potential. The narrow spread between 17°C and 18°C odds reflects minor model differences in peak afternoon temperatures, with historical August averages near 17–18°C providing context for the tight market. Updated guidance from the South African Weather Service or refined model runs in the next 48 hours could shift resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,110End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a daytime high of 16–17°C in Cape Town on August 31, driven by southerly winds under a building high-pressure ridge following a recent cold front. Clear to mostly sunny skies and dry air will limit daytime heating, while typical late-winter sea-surface temperatures and moderate wind speeds around 8–14 mph further cap warming potential. The narrow spread between 17°C and 18°C odds reflects minor model differences in peak afternoon temperatures, with historical August averages near 17–18°C providing context for the tight market. Updated guidance from the South African Weather Service or refined model runs in the next 48 hours could shift resolution probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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