Persistent upper-level high pressure and subsidence warming, combined with low humidity and light southerly winds, are sustaining a multi-day heat wave across central Texas, driving official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin highs near 103–105°F on August 23 with heat indices reaching 108–110°F. Recent model consensus and surface observations from Austin-Bergstrom Airport show daytime peaks building on prior days’ 102–104°F readings, while the date’s climatological average of 96°F and record of 105°F provide context for the elevated range. Trader emphasis on the 104–105°F and 106–107°F bins reflects this narrow forecast spread and limited cooling potential before peak heating.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on August 23?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 23?
104-105°F 57%
106-107°F 38%
102-103°F 6%
108-109°F 1.2%
NEW
$13,301 Vol.
NEW
$13,301 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
57%
106-107°F
38%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
104-105°F 57%
106-107°F 38%
102-103°F 6%
108-109°F 1.2%
NEW
$13,301 Vol.
NEW
$13,301 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
95°F or below
$299 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$463 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$196 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$1,133 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$2,558 Vol.
6%
104-105°F
$2,486 Vol.
57%
106-107°F
$3,651 Vol.
38%
108-109°F
$963 Vol.
1%
110-111°F
$948 Vol.
<1%
112-113°F
$281 Vol.
<1%
114°F or higher
$324 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent upper-level high pressure and subsidence warming, combined with low humidity and light southerly winds, are sustaining a multi-day heat wave across central Texas, driving official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin highs near 103–105°F on August 23 with heat indices reaching 108–110°F. Recent model consensus and surface observations from Austin-Bergstrom Airport show daytime peaks building on prior days’ 102–104°F readings, while the date’s climatological average of 96°F and record of 105°F provide context for the elevated range. Trader emphasis on the 104–105°F and 106–107°F bins reflects this narrow forecast spread and limited cooling potential before peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$13,301End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent upper-level high pressure and subsidence warming, combined with low humidity and light southerly winds, are sustaining a multi-day heat wave across central Texas, driving official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin highs near 103–105°F on August 23 with heat indices reaching 108–110°F. Recent model consensus and surface observations from Austin-Bergstrom Airport show daytime peaks building on prior days’ 102–104°F readings, while the date’s climatological average of 96°F and record of 105°F provide context for the elevated range. Trader emphasis on the 104–105°F and 106–107°F bins reflects this narrow forecast spread and limited cooling potential before peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,301End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent upper-level high pressure and subsidence warming, combined with low humidity and light southerly winds, are sustaining a multi-day heat wave across central Texas, driving official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin highs near 103–105°F on August 23 with heat indices reaching 108–110°F. Recent model consensus and surface observations from Austin-Bergstrom Airport show daytime peaks building on prior days’ 102–104°F readings, while the date’s climatological average of 96°F and record of 105°F provide context for the elevated range. Trader emphasis on the 104–105°F and 106–107°F bins reflects this narrow forecast spread and limited cooling potential before peak heating.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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