**Uncertainty in the minimum temperature for Buenos Aires on August 24 stems from competing model signals on the strength and timing of a post-frontal high-pressure ridge.** Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance points to a low near 6 °C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, favoring radiational cooling but not extreme cold advection. Ensemble spreads in global models reflect this, with some solutions allowing a brief surge of drier, cooler air from the south that could push readings to 3–4 °C or lower, while others keep marine influence dominant and limit the drop to 8 °C or above. Recent July cold outbreaks and an emerging El Niño pattern add historical context for occasional sharper minima, yet current surface observations and 48-hour model trends show moderation. Market-implied odds near 46 % across the coldest and mildest buckets therefore capture genuine forecast dispersion rather than consensus on any single threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 24?
8°C or higher 47%
-2°C or below 46%
6°C 45%
4°C 44%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
-2°C or below
46%
-1°C
26%
0°C
26%
1°C
26%
2°C
26%
3°C
28%
4°C
44%
5°C
26%
6°C
45%
7°C
26%
8°C or higher
47%
8°C or higher 47%
-2°C or below 46%
6°C 45%
4°C 44%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
-2°C or below
$0 Vol.
46%
-1°C
$0 Vol.
26%
0°C
$0 Vol.
26%
1°C
$0 Vol.
26%
2°C
$0 Vol.
26%
3°C
$0 Vol.
28%
4°C
$0 Vol.
44%
5°C
$0 Vol.
26%
6°C
$0 Vol.
45%
7°C
$0 Vol.
26%
8°C or higher
$0 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Uncertainty in the minimum temperature for Buenos Aires on August 24 stems from competing model signals on the strength and timing of a post-frontal high-pressure ridge.** Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance points to a low near 6 °C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, favoring radiational cooling but not extreme cold advection. Ensemble spreads in global models reflect this, with some solutions allowing a brief surge of drier, cooler air from the south that could push readings to 3–4 °C or lower, while others keep marine influence dominant and limit the drop to 8 °C or above. Recent July cold outbreaks and an emerging El Niño pattern add historical context for occasional sharper minima, yet current surface observations and 48-hour model trends show moderation. Market-implied odds near 46 % across the coldest and mildest buckets therefore capture genuine forecast dispersion rather than consensus on any single threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Uncertainty in the minimum temperature for Buenos Aires on August 24 stems from competing model signals on the strength and timing of a post-frontal high-pressure ridge.** Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance points to a low near 6 °C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, favoring radiational cooling but not extreme cold advection. Ensemble spreads in global models reflect this, with some solutions allowing a brief surge of drier, cooler air from the south that could push readings to 3–4 °C or lower, while others keep marine influence dominant and limit the drop to 8 °C or above. Recent July cold outbreaks and an emerging El Niño pattern add historical context for occasional sharper minima, yet current surface observations and 48-hour model trends show moderation. Market-implied odds near 46 % across the coldest and mildest buckets therefore capture genuine forecast dispersion rather than consensus on any single threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Uncertainty in the minimum temperature for Buenos Aires on August 24 stems from competing model signals on the strength and timing of a post-frontal high-pressure ridge.** Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance points to a low near 6 °C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, favoring radiational cooling but not extreme cold advection. Ensemble spreads in global models reflect this, with some solutions allowing a brief surge of drier, cooler air from the south that could push readings to 3–4 °C or lower, while others keep marine influence dominant and limit the drop to 8 °C or above. Recent July cold outbreaks and an emerging El Niño pattern add historical context for occasional sharper minima, yet current surface observations and 48-hour model trends show moderation. Market-implied odds near 46 % across the coldest and mildest buckets therefore capture genuine forecast dispersion rather than consensus on any single threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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