Recent forecast models from Environment Canada and global ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 14°C on August 24 in Toronto, driven by persistent cloud cover, light showers, and moderate westerly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling under a post-frontal air mass. This setup creates narrow uncertainty around the 13–16°C range, with minor model spreads in timing of clearing and dew point depression explaining the near-even trader probabilities clustered near 12–14°C thresholds. Historical August minima average 15–16°C, but the current pattern aligns with cooler analogs featuring onshore flow. Updated NWS and Canadian model runs tonight will refine the exact low before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Toronto on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on August 24?
9°C or below 97%
10°C 51%
11°C 51%
12°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
97%
10°C
51%
11°C
51%
12°C
49%
13°C
26%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
26%
19°C or higher
2%
9°C or below 97%
10°C 51%
11°C 51%
12°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
$5 Vol.
97%
10°C
$5 Vol.
51%
11°C
$5 Vol.
51%
12°C
$0 Vol.
49%
13°C
$0 Vol.
26%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
26%
18°C
$0 Vol.
26%
19°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from Environment Canada and global ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 14°C on August 24 in Toronto, driven by persistent cloud cover, light showers, and moderate westerly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling under a post-frontal air mass. This setup creates narrow uncertainty around the 13–16°C range, with minor model spreads in timing of clearing and dew point depression explaining the near-even trader probabilities clustered near 12–14°C thresholds. Historical August minima average 15–16°C, but the current pattern aligns with cooler analogs featuring onshore flow. Updated NWS and Canadian model runs tonight will refine the exact low before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$20End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from Environment Canada and global ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 14°C on August 24 in Toronto, driven by persistent cloud cover, light showers, and moderate westerly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling under a post-frontal air mass. This setup creates narrow uncertainty around the 13–16°C range, with minor model spreads in timing of clearing and dew point depression explaining the near-even trader probabilities clustered near 12–14°C thresholds. Historical August minima average 15–16°C, but the current pattern aligns with cooler analogs featuring onshore flow. Updated NWS and Canadian model runs tonight will refine the exact low before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from Environment Canada and global ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 14°C on August 24 in Toronto, driven by persistent cloud cover, light showers, and moderate westerly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling under a post-frontal air mass. This setup creates narrow uncertainty around the 13–16°C range, with minor model spreads in timing of clearing and dew point depression explaining the near-even trader probabilities clustered near 12–14°C thresholds. Historical August minima average 15–16°C, but the current pattern aligns with cooler analogs featuring onshore flow. Updated NWS and Canadian model runs tonight will refine the exact low before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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