Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to clear skies and northerly flow overnight into August 24, promoting radiational cooling that favors a Seattle minimum in the upper 50s. Light to moderate northerly winds should limit mixing while marine air keeps values from dropping sharply below seasonal norms around 56°F. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with limited disagreement on cloud cover or wind speed, yet microscale factors such as exact clearing timing and urban heat retention create the observed tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across the 54–60°F range. Fresh model runs tonight will refine the final overnight minimum ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seattle on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Seattle on August 24?
68°F or higher 94%
49°F or below 93%
50-51°F 87%
64-65°F 87%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
49°F or below
93%
50-51°F
87%
52-53°F
16%
54-55°F
44%
56-57°F
27%
58-59°F
49%
60-61°F
26%
62-63°F
44%
64-65°F
87%
66-67°F
30%
68°F or higher
94%
68°F or higher 94%
49°F or below 93%
50-51°F 87%
64-65°F 87%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
49°F or below
$5 Vol.
93%
50-51°F
$5 Vol.
87%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
16%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
44%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
27%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
49%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
26%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
44%
64-65°F
$5 Vol.
87%
66-67°F
$5 Vol.
30%
68°F or higher
$5 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to clear skies and northerly flow overnight into August 24, promoting radiational cooling that favors a Seattle minimum in the upper 50s. Light to moderate northerly winds should limit mixing while marine air keeps values from dropping sharply below seasonal norms around 56°F. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with limited disagreement on cloud cover or wind speed, yet microscale factors such as exact clearing timing and urban heat retention create the observed tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across the 54–60°F range. Fresh model runs tonight will refine the final overnight minimum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$25End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to clear skies and northerly flow overnight into August 24, promoting radiational cooling that favors a Seattle minimum in the upper 50s. Light to moderate northerly winds should limit mixing while marine air keeps values from dropping sharply below seasonal norms around 56°F. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with limited disagreement on cloud cover or wind speed, yet microscale factors such as exact clearing timing and urban heat retention create the observed tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across the 54–60°F range. Fresh model runs tonight will refine the final overnight minimum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to clear skies and northerly flow overnight into August 24, promoting radiational cooling that favors a Seattle minimum in the upper 50s. Light to moderate northerly winds should limit mixing while marine air keeps values from dropping sharply below seasonal norms around 56°F. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with limited disagreement on cloud cover or wind speed, yet microscale factors such as exact clearing timing and urban heat retention create the observed tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across the 54–60°F range. Fresh model runs tonight will refine the final overnight minimum ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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