Recent official forecasts from Singapore’s National Environment Agency highlight prevailing southwest monsoon conditions and below-average rainfall, positioning daily maximum temperatures between 33–34 °C on most days through late August, with isolated peaks near 35 °C. This aligns with the market’s leading 33 °C outcome at 54.5 % implied probability and supports elevated odds for 34 °C. First-half August observations already showed frequent exceedances of 33 °C, including a 34.9 °C reading, establishing a warmer-than-climatological baseline (long-term August mean maximum 31.4 °C). Short-term model spreads and the potential for localized thundery showers introduce modest uncertainty around exact peak values, keeping 32 °C and 35 °C as secondary contenders while probabilities for extremes remain low.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on August 23?
Highest temperature in Singapore on August 23?
33°C 55%
32°C 24%
34°C 20%
31°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
24%
33°C
55%
34°C
20%
35°C
4%
36°C
4%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
33°C 55%
32°C 24%
34°C 20%
31°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
28°C or below
$245 Vol.
1%
29°C
$95 Vol.
1%
30°C
$31 Vol.
1%
31°C
$23 Vol.
6%
32°C
$106 Vol.
24%
33°C
$172 Vol.
55%
34°C
$19 Vol.
20%
35°C
$5 Vol.
4%
36°C
$32 Vol.
4%
37°C
$20 Vol.
2%
38°C or higher
$95 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Singapore’s National Environment Agency highlight prevailing southwest monsoon conditions and below-average rainfall, positioning daily maximum temperatures between 33–34 °C on most days through late August, with isolated peaks near 35 °C. This aligns with the market’s leading 33 °C outcome at 54.5 % implied probability and supports elevated odds for 34 °C. First-half August observations already showed frequent exceedances of 33 °C, including a 34.9 °C reading, establishing a warmer-than-climatological baseline (long-term August mean maximum 31.4 °C). Short-term model spreads and the potential for localized thundery showers introduce modest uncertainty around exact peak values, keeping 32 °C and 35 °C as secondary contenders while probabilities for extremes remain low.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$842End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Singapore’s National Environment Agency highlight prevailing southwest monsoon conditions and below-average rainfall, positioning daily maximum temperatures between 33–34 °C on most days through late August, with isolated peaks near 35 °C. This aligns with the market’s leading 33 °C outcome at 54.5 % implied probability and supports elevated odds for 34 °C. First-half August observations already showed frequent exceedances of 33 °C, including a 34.9 °C reading, establishing a warmer-than-climatological baseline (long-term August mean maximum 31.4 °C). Short-term model spreads and the potential for localized thundery showers introduce modest uncertainty around exact peak values, keeping 32 °C and 35 °C as secondary contenders while probabilities for extremes remain low.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$842End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Singapore’s National Environment Agency highlight prevailing southwest monsoon conditions and below-average rainfall, positioning daily maximum temperatures between 33–34 °C on most days through late August, with isolated peaks near 35 °C. This aligns with the market’s leading 33 °C outcome at 54.5 % implied probability and supports elevated odds for 34 °C. First-half August observations already showed frequent exceedances of 33 °C, including a 34.9 °C reading, establishing a warmer-than-climatological baseline (long-term August mean maximum 31.4 °C). Short-term model spreads and the potential for localized thundery showers introduce modest uncertainty around exact peak values, keeping 32 °C and 35 °C as secondary contenders while probabilities for extremes remain low.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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