Recent cold front passage has introduced cooler southerly air into São Paulo, but current model guidance from sources like INMET and international ensembles points to overnight minima near 13–14°C on August 24 under mostly cloudy skies with persistent southeast winds of 10–15 km/h. These conditions limit radiative cooling, reducing the chance of readings dropping to single digits while also preventing warmer rebounds above 18°C. High humidity near 85–90% and low-level cloud cover further moderate temperature swings compared to clear, calm nights typical of winter radiative cooling events. Official station observations tomorrow will resolve the market, with any model shifts in cloud timing or wind strength representing the main near-term uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 24?
9°C or below 95%
19°C or higher 95%
18°C 51%
13°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
95%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
28%
14°C
27%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
51%
19°C or higher
95%
9°C or below 95%
19°C or higher 95%
18°C 51%
13°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
$5 Vol.
95%
10°C
$0 Vol.
26%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
28%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
26%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$4 Vol.
26%
18°C
$5 Vol.
51%
19°C or higher
$5 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold front passage has introduced cooler southerly air into São Paulo, but current model guidance from sources like INMET and international ensembles points to overnight minima near 13–14°C on August 24 under mostly cloudy skies with persistent southeast winds of 10–15 km/h. These conditions limit radiative cooling, reducing the chance of readings dropping to single digits while also preventing warmer rebounds above 18°C. High humidity near 85–90% and low-level cloud cover further moderate temperature swings compared to clear, calm nights typical of winter radiative cooling events. Official station observations tomorrow will resolve the market, with any model shifts in cloud timing or wind strength representing the main near-term uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$19End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold front passage has introduced cooler southerly air into São Paulo, but current model guidance from sources like INMET and international ensembles points to overnight minima near 13–14°C on August 24 under mostly cloudy skies with persistent southeast winds of 10–15 km/h. These conditions limit radiative cooling, reducing the chance of readings dropping to single digits while also preventing warmer rebounds above 18°C. High humidity near 85–90% and low-level cloud cover further moderate temperature swings compared to clear, calm nights typical of winter radiative cooling events. Official station observations tomorrow will resolve the market, with any model shifts in cloud timing or wind strength representing the main near-term uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cold front passage has introduced cooler southerly air into São Paulo, but current model guidance from sources like INMET and international ensembles points to overnight minima near 13–14°C on August 24 under mostly cloudy skies with persistent southeast winds of 10–15 km/h. These conditions limit radiative cooling, reducing the chance of readings dropping to single digits while also preventing warmer rebounds above 18°C. High humidity near 85–90% and low-level cloud cover further moderate temperature swings compared to clear, calm nights typical of winter radiative cooling events. Official station observations tomorrow will resolve the market, with any model shifts in cloud timing or wind strength representing the main near-term uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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