**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's August 24 low temperature centers on cooler-than-average conditions, with "9°C or below" holding the highest implied probability at 45.5%.** Standard August lows in the high-altitude capital (≈2,240 m elevation) average 11–13°C, driven by rapid radiational cooling after sunset during the rainy season. Recent daily observations and short-range model guidance have shown several nights dipping to 9–10°C amid persistent cloud cover, showers, and higher humidity that can suppress daytime heating and enhance overnight drops. Forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project a low near 13°C (56°F) for the 24th under typical overcast or isolated-storm conditions, yet the market assigns notable weight to the cooler tail. This reflects uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing skies or precipitation intensity, which can shift the minimum by several degrees. Resolution will depend on the official overnight minimum recorded at the primary Mexico City station, with traders closely monitoring updated model runs and local meteorological guidance ahead of the date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 24?
9°C or below 96%
19°C or higher 48%
17°C 36%
18°C 36%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
96%
10°C
35%
11°C
18%
12°C
18%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
19%
17°C
36%
18°C
36%
19°C or higher
48%
9°C or below 96%
19°C or higher 48%
17°C 36%
18°C 36%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
$5 Vol.
96%
10°C
$5 Vol.
35%
11°C
$0 Vol.
18%
12°C
$0 Vol.
18%
13°C
$0 Vol.
19%
14°C
$0 Vol.
19%
15°C
$0 Vol.
19%
16°C
$0 Vol.
19%
17°C
$5 Vol.
36%
18°C
$5 Vol.
36%
19°C or higher
$5 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's August 24 low temperature centers on cooler-than-average conditions, with "9°C or below" holding the highest implied probability at 45.5%.** Standard August lows in the high-altitude capital (≈2,240 m elevation) average 11–13°C, driven by rapid radiational cooling after sunset during the rainy season. Recent daily observations and short-range model guidance have shown several nights dipping to 9–10°C amid persistent cloud cover, showers, and higher humidity that can suppress daytime heating and enhance overnight drops.
Forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project a low near 13°C (56°F) for the 24th under typical overcast or isolated-storm conditions, yet the market assigns notable weight to the cooler tail. This reflects uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing skies or precipitation intensity, which can shift the minimum by several degrees. Resolution will depend on the official overnight minimum recorded at the primary Mexico City station, with traders closely monitoring updated model runs and local meteorological guidance ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$25End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's August 24 low temperature centers on cooler-than-average conditions, with "9°C or below" holding the highest implied probability at 45.5%.** Standard August lows in the high-altitude capital (≈2,240 m elevation) average 11–13°C, driven by rapid radiational cooling after sunset during the rainy season. Recent daily observations and short-range model guidance have shown several nights dipping to 9–10°C amid persistent cloud cover, showers, and higher humidity that can suppress daytime heating and enhance overnight drops.
Forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project a low near 13°C (56°F) for the 24th under typical overcast or isolated-storm conditions, yet the market assigns notable weight to the cooler tail. This reflects uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing skies or precipitation intensity, which can shift the minimum by several degrees. Resolution will depend on the official overnight minimum recorded at the primary Mexico City station, with traders closely monitoring updated model runs and local meteorological guidance ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's August 24 low temperature centers on cooler-than-average conditions, with "9°C or below" holding the highest implied probability at 45.5%.** Standard August lows in the high-altitude capital (≈2,240 m elevation) average 11–13°C, driven by rapid radiational cooling after sunset during the rainy season. Recent daily observations and short-range model guidance have shown several nights dipping to 9–10°C amid persistent cloud cover, showers, and higher humidity that can suppress daytime heating and enhance overnight drops. Forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project a low near 13°C (56°F) for the 24th under typical overcast or isolated-storm conditions, yet the market assigns notable weight to the cooler tail. This reflects uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing skies or precipitation intensity, which can shift the minimum by several degrees. Resolution will depend on the official overnight minimum recorded at the primary Mexico City station, with traders closely monitoring updated model runs and local meteorological guidance ahead of the date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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