The closely matched market-implied odds between 55°F or below and 74°F or higher reflect substantial forecast uncertainty for Denver’s overnight low on August 24. Recent model runs show divergence in how a weak upper-level trough and associated surface front interact with the high plains’ diurnal cycle, with some guidance keeping clear skies and radiational cooling under a dry airmass while others advect warmer southwest flow ahead of the boundary. Historical August climatology places typical lows near 58–62°F, but late-summer variability from moisture return or cloud cover can shift readings by 10–15°F. Traders are monitoring the next National Weather Service forecast update and high-resolution model consensus expected within the next 12–18 hours for clearer resolution signals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Denver on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Denver on August 24?
74°F or higher 91%
55°F or below 46%
64-65°F 37%
72-73°F 36%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
55°F or below
46%
56-57°F
19%
58-59°F
19%
60-61°F
19%
62-63°F
19%
64-65°F
28%
66-67°F
19%
68-69°F
19%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
36%
74°F or higher
91%
74°F or higher 91%
55°F or below 46%
64-65°F 37%
72-73°F 36%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
55°F or below
$0 Vol.
46%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
19%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
19%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
19%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
19%
64-65°F
$5 Vol.
28%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
19%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
19%
70-71°F
$4 Vol.
19%
72-73°F
$5 Vol.
36%
74°F or higher
$5 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market-implied odds between 55°F or below and 74°F or higher reflect substantial forecast uncertainty for Denver’s overnight low on August 24. Recent model runs show divergence in how a weak upper-level trough and associated surface front interact with the high plains’ diurnal cycle, with some guidance keeping clear skies and radiational cooling under a dry airmass while others advect warmer southwest flow ahead of the boundary. Historical August climatology places typical lows near 58–62°F, but late-summer variability from moisture return or cloud cover can shift readings by 10–15°F. Traders are monitoring the next National Weather Service forecast update and high-resolution model consensus expected within the next 12–18 hours for clearer resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$19End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market-implied odds between 55°F or below and 74°F or higher reflect substantial forecast uncertainty for Denver’s overnight low on August 24. Recent model runs show divergence in how a weak upper-level trough and associated surface front interact with the high plains’ diurnal cycle, with some guidance keeping clear skies and radiational cooling under a dry airmass while others advect warmer southwest flow ahead of the boundary. Historical August climatology places typical lows near 58–62°F, but late-summer variability from moisture return or cloud cover can shift readings by 10–15°F. Traders are monitoring the next National Weather Service forecast update and high-resolution model consensus expected within the next 12–18 hours for clearer resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched market-implied odds between 55°F or below and 74°F or higher reflect substantial forecast uncertainty for Denver’s overnight low on August 24. Recent model runs show divergence in how a weak upper-level trough and associated surface front interact with the high plains’ diurnal cycle, with some guidance keeping clear skies and radiational cooling under a dry airmass while others advect warmer southwest flow ahead of the boundary. Historical August climatology places typical lows near 58–62°F, but late-summer variability from moisture return or cloud cover can shift readings by 10–15°F. Traders are monitoring the next National Weather Service forecast update and high-resolution model consensus expected within the next 12–18 hours for clearer resolution signals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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