Persistent subtropical high pressure and an entrenched heat dome over the southern U.S. are sustaining above-normal overnight lows across central Texas, positioning upper-70s readings as the dominant outcome for Austin’s minimum temperature on August 23. National Weather Service forecasts and recent model guidance indicate lows near 79–80°F under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, with limited radiative cooling from elevated dew points and compressional warming. This aligns with the ongoing Heat Advisory and above-average August conditions driven by the ridge, while historical normals near 73°F reflect rarer cooler nights absent such blocking patterns. No frontal systems or significant moisture intrusions are expected to alter the trajectory before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Austin on August 23?
90°F or higher 88%
86-87°F 64%
71°F or below 34%
74-75°F 33%
71°F or below
34%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
33%
76-77°F
33%
78-79°F
33%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
33%
84-85°F
33%
86-87°F
64%
88-89°F
21%
90°F or higher
88%
90°F or higher 88%
86-87°F 64%
71°F or below 34%
74-75°F 33%
71°F or below
34%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
33%
76-77°F
33%
78-79°F
33%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
33%
84-85°F
33%
86-87°F
64%
88-89°F
21%
90°F or higher
88%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent subtropical high pressure and an entrenched heat dome over the southern U.S. are sustaining above-normal overnight lows across central Texas, positioning upper-70s readings as the dominant outcome for Austin’s minimum temperature on August 23. National Weather Service forecasts and recent model guidance indicate lows near 79–80°F under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, with limited radiative cooling from elevated dew points and compressional warming. This aligns with the ongoing Heat Advisory and above-average August conditions driven by the ridge, while historical normals near 73°F reflect rarer cooler nights absent such blocking patterns. No frontal systems or significant moisture intrusions are expected to alter the trajectory before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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