**Trader consensus heavily favors a 22°C daily minimum for Seoul/Incheon on September 3, reflecting model consensus and official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and supporting agencies.** Clear skies, light northeasterly flow, and typical late-summer radiative cooling under high pressure have produced overnight lows tracking 21–23°C across multiple forecast runs, with observed evening temperatures already descending toward that range. Historical September climatology for the region supports minima near 20–22°C under similar synoptic setups. A modest shift in cloud cover, wind speed, or marine-layer influence could push readings 1–2°C lower or higher before dawn, though current observational trends and short-range guidance show limited divergence. Updated KMA bulletins and final hourly observations will confirm resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 3?
22°C 98%
21°C 2%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$15,424 Vol.
$15,424 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
98%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
22°C 98%
21°C 2%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$15,424 Vol.
$15,424 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
98%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 22°C daily minimum for Seoul/Incheon on September 3, reflecting model consensus and official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and supporting agencies.** Clear skies, light northeasterly flow, and typical late-summer radiative cooling under high pressure have produced overnight lows tracking 21–23°C across multiple forecast runs, with observed evening temperatures already descending toward that range. Historical September climatology for the region supports minima near 20–22°C under similar synoptic setups. A modest shift in cloud cover, wind speed, or marine-layer influence could push readings 1–2°C lower or higher before dawn, though current observational trends and short-range guidance show limited divergence. Updated KMA bulletins and final hourly observations will confirm resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions