Trader sentiment for Sao Paulo’s September 3 minimum temperature centers on the narrow gap between 11°C and 12°C outcomes, reflecting tight model consensus amid modest forecast uncertainty. Current conditions feature typical early-spring radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, with dew points near 8–10°C limiting further drops and urban heat-island effects from the city’s built environment raising overnight lows by 1–2°C relative to rural stations. Steering flow from the northwest has kept cold-air advection weak, while local wind speeds around 5–10 km/h reduce mixing that could otherwise elevate minima. Official readings from INMET stations will resolve the market; any late-day clearing or slight model adjustment in boundary-layer moisture could shift the final value by 1°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 3?
12°C 50%
11°C 41%
9°C 14%
10°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
7°C or below
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
14%
10°C
5%
11°C
41%
12°C
50%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
12°C 50%
11°C 41%
9°C 14%
10°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
7°C or below
$39 Vol.
1%
8°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$71 Vol.
14%
10°C
$91 Vol.
5%
11°C
$129 Vol.
41%
12°C
$3 Vol.
50%
13°C
$380 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$167 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$284 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,107 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$107 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Sao Paulo’s September 3 minimum temperature centers on the narrow gap between 11°C and 12°C outcomes, reflecting tight model consensus amid modest forecast uncertainty. Current conditions feature typical early-spring radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, with dew points near 8–10°C limiting further drops and urban heat-island effects from the city’s built environment raising overnight lows by 1–2°C relative to rural stations. Steering flow from the northwest has kept cold-air advection weak, while local wind speeds around 5–10 km/h reduce mixing that could otherwise elevate minima. Official readings from INMET stations will resolve the market; any late-day clearing or slight model adjustment in boundary-layer moisture could shift the final value by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
Volume
$2,474End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 8:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Sao Paulo’s September 3 minimum temperature centers on the narrow gap between 11°C and 12°C outcomes, reflecting tight model consensus amid modest forecast uncertainty. Current conditions feature typical early-spring radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, with dew points near 8–10°C limiting further drops and urban heat-island effects from the city’s built environment raising overnight lows by 1–2°C relative to rural stations. Steering flow from the northwest has kept cold-air advection weak, while local wind speeds around 5–10 km/h reduce mixing that could otherwise elevate minima. Official readings from INMET stations will resolve the market; any late-day clearing or slight model adjustment in boundary-layer moisture could shift the final value by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,474End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 8:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Sao Paulo’s September 3 minimum temperature centers on the narrow gap between 11°C and 12°C outcomes, reflecting tight model consensus amid modest forecast uncertainty. Current conditions feature typical early-spring radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, with dew points near 8–10°C limiting further drops and urban heat-island effects from the city’s built environment raising overnight lows by 1–2°C relative to rural stations. Steering flow from the northwest has kept cold-air advection weak, while local wind speeds around 5–10 km/h reduce mixing that could otherwise elevate minima. Official readings from INMET stations will resolve the market; any late-day clearing or slight model adjustment in boundary-layer moisture could shift the final value by 1°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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