Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project a maximum temperature of 23–24°C in São Paulo on August 23, aligning with the market’s strong consensus on those outcomes. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, the city’s subtropical climate typically features stable high-pressure systems and reduced moisture, producing daytime highs near the long-term August average of 23–25°C with minimal diurnal variation or convective activity. Recent model runs show light winds and scattered clouds limiting daytime heating, while no incoming cold fronts or tropical moisture are expected to alter this range. Traders appear to weigh these consistent observational baselines and short-range guidance heavily, as resolution hinges on the official reading at the São Paulo-Guarulhos station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 23?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 23?
24°C 50%
23°C 27%
25°C 11%
22°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
6%
22°C
9%
23°C
27%
24°C
50%
25°C
11%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 50%
23°C 27%
25°C 11%
22°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
20°C or below
$248 Vol.
1%
21°C
$328 Vol.
6%
22°C
$355 Vol.
9%
23°C
$473 Vol.
27%
24°C
$550 Vol.
50%
25°C
$948 Vol.
11%
26°C
$380 Vol.
2%
27°C
$201 Vol.
1%
28°C
$310 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$295 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$931 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project a maximum temperature of 23–24°C in São Paulo on August 23, aligning with the market’s strong consensus on those outcomes. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, the city’s subtropical climate typically features stable high-pressure systems and reduced moisture, producing daytime highs near the long-term August average of 23–25°C with minimal diurnal variation or convective activity. Recent model runs show light winds and scattered clouds limiting daytime heating, while no incoming cold fronts or tropical moisture are expected to alter this range. Traders appear to weigh these consistent observational baselines and short-range guidance heavily, as resolution hinges on the official reading at the São Paulo-Guarulhos station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ET
Volume
$5,019End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project a maximum temperature of 23–24°C in São Paulo on August 23, aligning with the market’s strong consensus on those outcomes. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, the city’s subtropical climate typically features stable high-pressure systems and reduced moisture, producing daytime highs near the long-term August average of 23–25°C with minimal diurnal variation or convective activity. Recent model runs show light winds and scattered clouds limiting daytime heating, while no incoming cold fronts or tropical moisture are expected to alter this range. Traders appear to weigh these consistent observational baselines and short-range guidance heavily, as resolution hinges on the official reading at the São Paulo-Guarulhos station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,019End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project a maximum temperature of 23–24°C in São Paulo on August 23, aligning with the market’s strong consensus on those outcomes. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, the city’s subtropical climate typically features stable high-pressure systems and reduced moisture, producing daytime highs near the long-term August average of 23–25°C with minimal diurnal variation or convective activity. Recent model runs show light winds and scattered clouds limiting daytime heating, while no incoming cold fronts or tropical moisture are expected to alter this range. Traders appear to weigh these consistent observational baselines and short-range guidance heavily, as resolution hinges on the official reading at the São Paulo-Guarulhos station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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