Forecast models from NOAA and local meteorological services point to a mid-80s high in New York City today, driven by southwest winds of 5–10 mph, partial afternoon clearing after morning showers, and elevated humidity supporting heat index values near 90°F. The tight split between 84–85°F and 86–87°F outcomes reflects minor model differences in storm timing and cloud cover that could add or subtract a degree or two before peak heating. Historical averages near 80°F provide context, yet recent patterns show greater variability from lingering moisture. Real-time observations at Central Park will determine final resolution as conditions evolve through the afternoon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on September 3?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 3?
86-87°F 36%
84-85°F 36%
88-89°F 11%
82-83°F 11%
$16,974 Vol.
$16,974 Vol.
Sep 3, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
36%
86-87°F
36%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 36%
84-85°F 36%
88-89°F 11%
82-83°F 11%
$16,974 Vol.
$16,974 Vol.
Sep 3, 2026
75°F or below
$2,846 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$2,418 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$1,098 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$1,560 Vol.
4%
82-83°F
$2,002 Vol.
11%
84-85°F
$1,724 Vol.
36%
86-87°F
$2,548 Vol.
36%
88-89°F
$1,300 Vol.
11%
90-91°F
$752 Vol.
2%
92-93°F
$521 Vol.
<1%
94°F or higher
$509 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and local meteorological services point to a mid-80s high in New York City today, driven by southwest winds of 5–10 mph, partial afternoon clearing after morning showers, and elevated humidity supporting heat index values near 90°F. The tight split between 84–85°F and 86–87°F outcomes reflects minor model differences in storm timing and cloud cover that could add or subtract a degree or two before peak heating. Historical averages near 80°F provide context, yet recent patterns show greater variability from lingering moisture. Real-time observations at Central Park will determine final resolution as conditions evolve through the afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Volume
$16,974End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 3:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and local meteorological services point to a mid-80s high in New York City today, driven by southwest winds of 5–10 mph, partial afternoon clearing after morning showers, and elevated humidity supporting heat index values near 90°F. The tight split between 84–85°F and 86–87°F outcomes reflects minor model differences in storm timing and cloud cover that could add or subtract a degree or two before peak heating. Historical averages near 80°F provide context, yet recent patterns show greater variability from lingering moisture. Real-time observations at Central Park will determine final resolution as conditions evolve through the afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,974End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 3:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from NOAA and local meteorological services point to a mid-80s high in New York City today, driven by southwest winds of 5–10 mph, partial afternoon clearing after morning showers, and elevated humidity supporting heat index values near 90°F. The tight split between 84–85°F and 86–87°F outcomes reflects minor model differences in storm timing and cloud cover that could add or subtract a degree or two before peak heating. Historical averages near 80°F provide context, yet recent patterns show greater variability from lingering moisture. Real-time observations at Central Park will determine final resolution as conditions evolve through the afternoon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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