Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on September 3, 2026, show overnight and early-morning lows stabilizing near 20–22°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate northeasterly winds of 10–15 km/h, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. These conditions, driven by a stable high-pressure pattern and warmer-than-average maritime air, position 22°C as the leading market outcome at 60% implied probability. Trader consensus aligns with official model runs projecting diurnal minima above the long-term September average of roughly 17–18°C, with limited cooling expected before sunrise. No major frontal systems or advection changes are forecast to shift readings lower today.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 3?
20°C 15%
18°C 9%
21°C 8%
19°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
9%
19°C
1%
20°C
15%
21°C
8%
22°C
60%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
20°C 15%
18°C 9%
21°C 8%
19°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
17°C or below
$425 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$49 Vol.
9%
19°C
$156 Vol.
1%
20°C
$115 Vol.
15%
21°C
$35 Vol.
8%
22°C
$131 Vol.
60%
23°C
$230 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$369 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$507 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$90 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on September 3, 2026, show overnight and early-morning lows stabilizing near 20–22°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate northeasterly winds of 10–15 km/h, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. These conditions, driven by a stable high-pressure pattern and warmer-than-average maritime air, position 22°C as the leading market outcome at 60% implied probability. Trader consensus aligns with official model runs projecting diurnal minima above the long-term September average of roughly 17–18°C, with limited cooling expected before sunrise. No major frontal systems or advection changes are forecast to shift readings lower today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,150End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on September 3, 2026, show overnight and early-morning lows stabilizing near 20–22°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate northeasterly winds of 10–15 km/h, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. These conditions, driven by a stable high-pressure pattern and warmer-than-average maritime air, position 22°C as the leading market outcome at 60% implied probability. Trader consensus aligns with official model runs projecting diurnal minima above the long-term September average of roughly 17–18°C, with limited cooling expected before sunrise. No major frontal systems or advection changes are forecast to shift readings lower today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,150End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on September 3, 2026, show overnight and early-morning lows stabilizing near 20–22°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate northeasterly winds of 10–15 km/h, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. These conditions, driven by a stable high-pressure pattern and warmer-than-average maritime air, position 22°C as the leading market outcome at 60% implied probability. Trader consensus aligns with official model runs projecting diurnal minima above the long-term September average of roughly 17–18°C, with limited cooling expected before sunrise. No major frontal systems or advection changes are forecast to shift readings lower today.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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