Recent forecasts from Argentine meteorological services and models indicate an overnight low near 4–5°C for Buenos Aires on August 23 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, creating tight market-implied odds around 0–5°C. Traders weigh radiative cooling under clear patches against modest advection of cooler maritime air following the prior day’s polar front passage, with variables such as wind speed, dew-point depression, and urban heat-island effects at the official station determining whether the minimum reaches or stays above 0°C. Historical August minima average near 8°C, yet this episode’s stronger high-pressure influence supports the clustered probabilities while leaving room for model updates on cloud timing or local microclimate shifts before official reporting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 23?
1°C 48%
3°C 48%
0°C 46%
2°C 46%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
-2°C or below
26%
-1°C
42%
0°C
46%
1°C
48%
2°C
46%
3°C
48%
4°C
43%
5°C
46%
6°C
42%
7°C
<1%
8°C or higher
<1%
1°C 48%
3°C 48%
0°C 46%
2°C 46%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
-2°C or below
$0 Vol.
26%
-1°C
$0 Vol.
42%
0°C
$0 Vol.
46%
1°C
$0 Vol.
48%
2°C
$0 Vol.
46%
3°C
$0 Vol.
48%
4°C
$0 Vol.
43%
5°C
$0 Vol.
46%
6°C
$5 Vol.
42%
7°C
$188 Vol.
<1%
8°C or higher
$183 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Argentine meteorological services and models indicate an overnight low near 4–5°C for Buenos Aires on August 23 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, creating tight market-implied odds around 0–5°C. Traders weigh radiative cooling under clear patches against modest advection of cooler maritime air following the prior day’s polar front passage, with variables such as wind speed, dew-point depression, and urban heat-island effects at the official station determining whether the minimum reaches or stays above 0°C. Historical August minima average near 8°C, yet this episode’s stronger high-pressure influence supports the clustered probabilities while leaving room for model updates on cloud timing or local microclimate shifts before official reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$371End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Argentine meteorological services and models indicate an overnight low near 4–5°C for Buenos Aires on August 23 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, creating tight market-implied odds around 0–5°C. Traders weigh radiative cooling under clear patches against modest advection of cooler maritime air following the prior day’s polar front passage, with variables such as wind speed, dew-point depression, and urban heat-island effects at the official station determining whether the minimum reaches or stays above 0°C. Historical August minima average near 8°C, yet this episode’s stronger high-pressure influence supports the clustered probabilities while leaving room for model updates on cloud timing or local microclimate shifts before official reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$371End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Argentine meteorological services and models indicate an overnight low near 4–5°C for Buenos Aires on August 23 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, creating tight market-implied odds around 0–5°C. Traders weigh radiative cooling under clear patches against modest advection of cooler maritime air following the prior day’s polar front passage, with variables such as wind speed, dew-point depression, and urban heat-island effects at the official station determining whether the minimum reaches or stays above 0°C. Historical August minima average near 8°C, yet this episode’s stronger high-pressure influence supports the clustered probabilities while leaving room for model updates on cloud timing or local microclimate shifts before official reporting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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