Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and major models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a daytime maximum of 11–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 23, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting a cooler polar air mass behind a Patagonian cold front. This late-winter setup suppresses typical seasonal warming, with light winds and partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating below the August average high near 16–17°C. Market-implied odds heavily weighting 13°C at 57.5% and 12°C at 26.5% reflect this model consensus and historical analogs of similar frontal passages, while lower-probability outcomes above 14°C would require unexpected rapid warming or model errors. Official observations through the day will determine the exact recorded high for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 23?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 23?
13°C 59%
12°C 27%
14°C 14%
11°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
8°C or below
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
27%
13°C
59%
14°C
14%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 59%
12°C 27%
14°C 14%
11°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
8°C or below
$334 Vol.
1%
9°C
$596 Vol.
1%
10°C
$283 Vol.
1%
11°C
$341 Vol.
4%
12°C
$1,156 Vol.
27%
13°C
$1,461 Vol.
59%
14°C
$1,107 Vol.
14%
15°C
$682 Vol.
1%
16°C
$276 Vol.
1%
17°C
$279 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$877 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and major models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a daytime maximum of 11–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 23, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting a cooler polar air mass behind a Patagonian cold front. This late-winter setup suppresses typical seasonal warming, with light winds and partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating below the August average high near 16–17°C. Market-implied odds heavily weighting 13°C at 57.5% and 12°C at 26.5% reflect this model consensus and historical analogs of similar frontal passages, while lower-probability outcomes above 14°C would require unexpected rapid warming or model errors. Official observations through the day will determine the exact recorded high for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ET
Volume
$7,376End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and major models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a daytime maximum of 11–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 23, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting a cooler polar air mass behind a Patagonian cold front. This late-winter setup suppresses typical seasonal warming, with light winds and partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating below the August average high near 16–17°C. Market-implied odds heavily weighting 13°C at 57.5% and 12°C at 26.5% reflect this model consensus and historical analogs of similar frontal passages, while lower-probability outcomes above 14°C would require unexpected rapid warming or model errors. Official observations through the day will determine the exact recorded high for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,376End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and major models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate a daytime maximum of 11–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 23, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting a cooler polar air mass behind a Patagonian cold front. This late-winter setup suppresses typical seasonal warming, with light winds and partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating below the August average high near 16–17°C. Market-implied odds heavily weighting 13°C at 57.5% and 12°C at 26.5% reflect this model consensus and historical analogs of similar frontal passages, while lower-probability outcomes above 14°C would require unexpected rapid warming or model errors. Official observations through the day will determine the exact recorded high for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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