Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate clearing skies and light northeast winds over Wuhan following several days of rain and cooler highs near 26–29°C, supporting daytime heating to a peak near 31–32°C on September 4. This aligns with early-September climatology, where average highs reach about 30–31°C amid declining monsoon influence and stable high pressure. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with minimal precipitation risk and moderate humidity aiding modest warming, though exact maxima depend on afternoon cloud cover and wind shifts. Market-implied odds concentrate on 31–33°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of current model consensus and typical late-summer variability ahead of the next forecast cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 4?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 4?
32°C 37%
33°C 23%
31°C 19%
34°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 4, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
19%
32°C
37%
33°C
23%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
2%
32°C 37%
33°C 23%
31°C 19%
34°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 4, 2026
25°C or below
$278 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$692 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$240 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$341 Vol.
2%
29°C
$100 Vol.
2%
30°C
$291 Vol.
5%
31°C
$425 Vol.
19%
32°C
$642 Vol.
37%
33°C
$451 Vol.
23%
34°C
$515 Vol.
6%
35°C or higher
$305 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate clearing skies and light northeast winds over Wuhan following several days of rain and cooler highs near 26–29°C, supporting daytime heating to a peak near 31–32°C on September 4. This aligns with early-September climatology, where average highs reach about 30–31°C amid declining monsoon influence and stable high pressure. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with minimal precipitation risk and moderate humidity aiding modest warming, though exact maxima depend on afternoon cloud cover and wind shifts. Market-implied odds concentrate on 31–33°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of current model consensus and typical late-summer variability ahead of the next forecast cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$4,280End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate clearing skies and light northeast winds over Wuhan following several days of rain and cooler highs near 26–29°C, supporting daytime heating to a peak near 31–32°C on September 4. This aligns with early-September climatology, where average highs reach about 30–31°C amid declining monsoon influence and stable high pressure. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with minimal precipitation risk and moderate humidity aiding modest warming, though exact maxima depend on afternoon cloud cover and wind shifts. Market-implied odds concentrate on 31–33°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of current model consensus and typical late-summer variability ahead of the next forecast cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,280End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate clearing skies and light northeast winds over Wuhan following several days of rain and cooler highs near 26–29°C, supporting daytime heating to a peak near 31–32°C on September 4. This aligns with early-September climatology, where average highs reach about 30–31°C amid declining monsoon influence and stable high pressure. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with minimal precipitation risk and moderate humidity aiding modest warming, though exact maxima depend on afternoon cloud cover and wind shifts. Market-implied odds concentrate on 31–33°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of current model consensus and typical late-summer variability ahead of the next forecast cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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