Current forecasts and real-time observations for Warsaw on September 3 point to a daily maximum near 23–24°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and moderate humidity levels around 50–60%. Numerical weather models, including GFS guidance, show afternoon peaks reaching 23–24°C with minimal precipitation risk, consistent with early September climatology where average highs hover near 20–22°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 51.5% implied probability for 23°C and 35.5% for 24°C aligns with this stable pattern, though slight model spread on cloud cover or wind shifts could nudge readings by 1°C. No significant synoptic changes are expected before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 3?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 3?
23°C 54%
24°C 37%
22°C 10%
25°C 2%
$10,229 Vol.
$10,229 Vol.
Sep 3, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
10%
23°C
54%
24°C
37%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 54%
24°C 37%
22°C 10%
25°C 2%
$10,229 Vol.
$10,229 Vol.
Sep 3, 2026
18°C or below
$609 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$225 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$334 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$523 Vol.
2%
22°C
$1,989 Vol.
10%
23°C
$2,339 Vol.
54%
24°C
$2,576 Vol.
37%
25°C
$407 Vol.
2%
26°C
$369 Vol.
1%
27°C
$542 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$317 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts and real-time observations for Warsaw on September 3 point to a daily maximum near 23–24°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and moderate humidity levels around 50–60%. Numerical weather models, including GFS guidance, show afternoon peaks reaching 23–24°C with minimal precipitation risk, consistent with early September climatology where average highs hover near 20–22°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 51.5% implied probability for 23°C and 35.5% for 24°C aligns with this stable pattern, though slight model spread on cloud cover or wind shifts could nudge readings by 1°C. No significant synoptic changes are expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$10,229End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts and real-time observations for Warsaw on September 3 point to a daily maximum near 23–24°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and moderate humidity levels around 50–60%. Numerical weather models, including GFS guidance, show afternoon peaks reaching 23–24°C with minimal precipitation risk, consistent with early September climatology where average highs hover near 20–22°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 51.5% implied probability for 23°C and 35.5% for 24°C aligns with this stable pattern, though slight model spread on cloud cover or wind shifts could nudge readings by 1°C. No significant synoptic changes are expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,229End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts and real-time observations for Warsaw on September 3 point to a daily maximum near 23–24°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and moderate humidity levels around 50–60%. Numerical weather models, including GFS guidance, show afternoon peaks reaching 23–24°C with minimal precipitation risk, consistent with early September climatology where average highs hover near 20–22°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 51.5% implied probability for 23°C and 35.5% for 24°C aligns with this stable pattern, though slight model spread on cloud cover or wind shifts could nudge readings by 1°C. No significant synoptic changes are expected before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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