Recent meteorological forecasts for Milan indicate peak temperatures of 34–35°C on August 16 under sunny skies and light easterly winds, positioning these as the leading market outcomes at 36.5% and 46.5% implied probability. Persistent high pressure across northern Italy, combined with the Po Valley's tendency to trap heat and limited cloud cover, supports strong daytime warming consistent with the ongoing summer heatwave pattern. Official guidance from agencies like the Met Office and BBC Weather shows model consensus around these values, though minor shifts in steering patterns or afternoon convection could alter the daily maximum. Traders are weighting the latest model runs heavily ahead of final observational data from local stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on August 16?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 16?
35°C 47%
34°C 38%
36°C 8%
33°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
31°C or below
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
7%
34°C
38%
35°C
47%
36°C
8%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 47%
34°C 38%
36°C 8%
33°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
31°C or below
$567 Vol.
1%
32°C
$294 Vol.
3%
33°C
$891 Vol.
7%
34°C
$839 Vol.
38%
35°C
$1,584 Vol.
47%
36°C
$669 Vol.
8%
37°C
$212 Vol.
2%
38°C
$173 Vol.
1%
39°C
$140 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$154 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$383 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Milan indicate peak temperatures of 34–35°C on August 16 under sunny skies and light easterly winds, positioning these as the leading market outcomes at 36.5% and 46.5% implied probability. Persistent high pressure across northern Italy, combined with the Po Valley's tendency to trap heat and limited cloud cover, supports strong daytime warming consistent with the ongoing summer heatwave pattern. Official guidance from agencies like the Met Office and BBC Weather shows model consensus around these values, though minor shifts in steering patterns or afternoon convection could alter the daily maximum. Traders are weighting the latest model runs heavily ahead of final observational data from local stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$5,904End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Milan indicate peak temperatures of 34–35°C on August 16 under sunny skies and light easterly winds, positioning these as the leading market outcomes at 36.5% and 46.5% implied probability. Persistent high pressure across northern Italy, combined with the Po Valley's tendency to trap heat and limited cloud cover, supports strong daytime warming consistent with the ongoing summer heatwave pattern. Official guidance from agencies like the Met Office and BBC Weather shows model consensus around these values, though minor shifts in steering patterns or afternoon convection could alter the daily maximum. Traders are weighting the latest model runs heavily ahead of final observational data from local stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,904End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Milan indicate peak temperatures of 34–35°C on August 16 under sunny skies and light easterly winds, positioning these as the leading market outcomes at 36.5% and 46.5% implied probability. Persistent high pressure across northern Italy, combined with the Po Valley's tendency to trap heat and limited cloud cover, supports strong daytime warming consistent with the ongoing summer heatwave pattern. Official guidance from agencies like the Met Office and BBC Weather shows model consensus around these values, though minor shifts in steering patterns or afternoon convection could alter the daily maximum. Traders are weighting the latest model runs heavily ahead of final observational data from local stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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