Marine layer strengthening from the Pacific Ocean and persistent onshore flow are the main drivers keeping Los Angeles highs anchored in the mid-70s today, consistent with National Weather Service guidance and recent model runs showing weak upper-level ridging that limits inland warming. Coastal locations typically see 5–10°F cooling from this marine influence compared to interior valleys, aligning with historical August patterns where sea breezes moderate peaks despite seasonal averages near 82–84°F. Latest forecasts project a 76–77°F high as the most likely outcome, with slim odds for 78°F or above unless ridging strengthens unexpectedly before evening observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 14?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 14?
76-77°F 75%
78-79°F 30%
80-81°F 2.1%
82-83°F <1%
$30,922 Vol.
$30,922 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
70%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 75%
78-79°F 30%
80-81°F 2.1%
82-83°F <1%
$30,922 Vol.
$30,922 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
65°F or below
$146 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$134 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$352 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$1,658 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$3,486 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$7,856 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$9,493 Vol.
70%
78-79°F
$4,659 Vol.
30%
80-81°F
$1,334 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$1,279 Vol.
1%
84°F or higher
$1,558 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer strengthening from the Pacific Ocean and persistent onshore flow are the main drivers keeping Los Angeles highs anchored in the mid-70s today, consistent with National Weather Service guidance and recent model runs showing weak upper-level ridging that limits inland warming. Coastal locations typically see 5–10°F cooling from this marine influence compared to interior valleys, aligning with historical August patterns where sea breezes moderate peaks despite seasonal averages near 82–84°F. Latest forecasts project a 76–77°F high as the most likely outcome, with slim odds for 78°F or above unless ridging strengthens unexpectedly before evening observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$30,922End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer strengthening from the Pacific Ocean and persistent onshore flow are the main drivers keeping Los Angeles highs anchored in the mid-70s today, consistent with National Weather Service guidance and recent model runs showing weak upper-level ridging that limits inland warming. Coastal locations typically see 5–10°F cooling from this marine influence compared to interior valleys, aligning with historical August patterns where sea breezes moderate peaks despite seasonal averages near 82–84°F. Latest forecasts project a 76–77°F high as the most likely outcome, with slim odds for 78°F or above unless ridging strengthens unexpectedly before evening observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,922End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marine layer strengthening from the Pacific Ocean and persistent onshore flow are the main drivers keeping Los Angeles highs anchored in the mid-70s today, consistent with National Weather Service guidance and recent model runs showing weak upper-level ridging that limits inland warming. Coastal locations typically see 5–10°F cooling from this marine influence compared to interior valleys, aligning with historical August patterns where sea breezes moderate peaks despite seasonal averages near 82–84°F. Latest forecasts project a 76–77°F high as the most likely outcome, with slim odds for 78°F or above unless ridging strengthens unexpectedly before evening observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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