National Weather Service forecasts and major model consensus point to a high near 86°F in New York City on August 14, 2026, supporting the market’s leading 86-87°F bracket at 56.5% implied probability. Partly cloudy skies combined with light winds are expected to moderate afternoon heating, while an Atlantic sea breeze may further cap peaks modestly above the 83°F climatological normal for the date. Variability in cloud cover or late-day clearing represents the main uncertainty that could shift readings toward the 84-85°F or 88-89°F ranges, which hold 18.5% and 23.5% respectively. Official Central Park observations will determine resolution as conditions evolve through the afternoon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on August 14?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 14?
86-87°F 60%
88-89°F 22%
84-85°F 15%
90-91°F 3%
NEW
$25,192 Vol.
NEW
$25,192 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
81°F or below
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
60%
88-89°F
22%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 60%
88-89°F 22%
84-85°F 15%
90-91°F 3%
NEW
$25,192 Vol.
NEW
$25,192 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
81°F or below
$1,814 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$2,959 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$3,044 Vol.
15%
86-87°F
$5,283 Vol.
60%
88-89°F
$3,545 Vol.
22%
90-91°F
$1,764 Vol.
3%
92-93°F
$1,304 Vol.
2%
94-95°F
$3,373 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$804 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$686 Vol.
<1%
100°F or higher
$616 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and major model consensus point to a high near 86°F in New York City on August 14, 2026, supporting the market’s leading 86-87°F bracket at 56.5% implied probability. Partly cloudy skies combined with light winds are expected to moderate afternoon heating, while an Atlantic sea breeze may further cap peaks modestly above the 83°F climatological normal for the date. Variability in cloud cover or late-day clearing represents the main uncertainty that could shift readings toward the 84-85°F or 88-89°F ranges, which hold 18.5% and 23.5% respectively. Official Central Park observations will determine resolution as conditions evolve through the afternoon.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$25,192End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and major model consensus point to a high near 86°F in New York City on August 14, 2026, supporting the market’s leading 86-87°F bracket at 56.5% implied probability. Partly cloudy skies combined with light winds are expected to moderate afternoon heating, while an Atlantic sea breeze may further cap peaks modestly above the 83°F climatological normal for the date. Variability in cloud cover or late-day clearing represents the main uncertainty that could shift readings toward the 84-85°F or 88-89°F ranges, which hold 18.5% and 23.5% respectively. Official Central Park observations will determine resolution as conditions evolve through the afternoon.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25,192End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and major model consensus point to a high near 86°F in New York City on August 14, 2026, supporting the market’s leading 86-87°F bracket at 56.5% implied probability. Partly cloudy skies combined with light winds are expected to moderate afternoon heating, while an Atlantic sea breeze may further cap peaks modestly above the 83°F climatological normal for the date. Variability in cloud cover or late-day clearing represents the main uncertainty that could shift readings toward the 84-85°F or 88-89°F ranges, which hold 18.5% and 23.5% respectively. Official Central Park observations will determine resolution as conditions evolve through the afternoon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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