Official National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on August 14 project a sunny day with a high near 80°F and light variable winds, positioning the 78–81°F bins as the market leaders through consensus on modest daytime heating. Pacific marine air and typical August sea-breeze moderation limit upside potential, while clear skies and seasonal solar input support readings at or slightly above the 77°F monthly average. Recent model runs show limited spread, with no strong onshore flow or cloud cover expected to suppress the maximum. Traders weigh these stable conditions against minor forecast uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized urban heat effects when assigning the highest implied probabilities to the narrow central range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seattle on August 14?
Highest temperature in Seattle on August 14?
78-79°F 42%
80-81°F 28%
76-77°F 19%
82-83°F 6%
NEW
$16,702 Vol.
NEW
$16,702 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
42%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 42%
80-81°F 28%
76-77°F 19%
82-83°F 6%
NEW
$16,702 Vol.
NEW
$16,702 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
73°F or below
$692 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$2,326 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$1,312 Vol.
19%
78-79°F
$3,126 Vol.
42%
80-81°F
$2,664 Vol.
28%
82-83°F
$2,871 Vol.
6%
84-85°F
$1,492 Vol.
4%
86-87°F
$741 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$695 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$434 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$467 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on August 14 project a sunny day with a high near 80°F and light variable winds, positioning the 78–81°F bins as the market leaders through consensus on modest daytime heating. Pacific marine air and typical August sea-breeze moderation limit upside potential, while clear skies and seasonal solar input support readings at or slightly above the 77°F monthly average. Recent model runs show limited spread, with no strong onshore flow or cloud cover expected to suppress the maximum. Traders weigh these stable conditions against minor forecast uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized urban heat effects when assigning the highest implied probabilities to the narrow central range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$16,702End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on August 14 project a sunny day with a high near 80°F and light variable winds, positioning the 78–81°F bins as the market leaders through consensus on modest daytime heating. Pacific marine air and typical August sea-breeze moderation limit upside potential, while clear skies and seasonal solar input support readings at or slightly above the 77°F monthly average. Recent model runs show limited spread, with no strong onshore flow or cloud cover expected to suppress the maximum. Traders weigh these stable conditions against minor forecast uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized urban heat effects when assigning the highest implied probabilities to the narrow central range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,702End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on August 14 project a sunny day with a high near 80°F and light variable winds, positioning the 78–81°F bins as the market leaders through consensus on modest daytime heating. Pacific marine air and typical August sea-breeze moderation limit upside potential, while clear skies and seasonal solar input support readings at or slightly above the 77°F monthly average. Recent model runs show limited spread, with no strong onshore flow or cloud cover expected to suppress the maximum. Traders weigh these stable conditions against minor forecast uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized urban heat effects when assigning the highest implied probabilities to the narrow central range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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