Trader consensus centers on 18–19°C as the most likely maximum for Cape Town on August 16, consistent with August climatology of 17–18°C highs driven by the cool Benguela Current and wintertime high-pressure dominance. Recent model guidance highlights modest variability from subtle differences in cloud cover, wind direction, and any lingering effects of earlier cold fronts, which can shift daytime peaks by 1–2°C through changes in solar insolation or adiabatic warming. With resolution hinging on official South African Weather Service observations, the tight spread among leading outcomes underscores forecast uncertainty at this lead time while underscoring the market’s aggregation of real-time meteorological data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 16?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 16?
19°C 33%
18°C 29%
20°C 16%
17°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
13%
17°C
15%
18°C
29%
19°C
33%
20°C
16%
21°C
11%
22°C
4%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 33%
18°C 29%
20°C 16%
17°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
13°C or below
$10 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$0 Vol.
1%
15°C
$5 Vol.
2%
16°C
$0 Vol.
13%
17°C
$0 Vol.
15%
18°C
$57 Vol.
29%
19°C
$48 Vol.
33%
20°C
$0 Vol.
16%
21°C
$45 Vol.
11%
22°C
$10 Vol.
4%
23°C or higher
$54 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 18–19°C as the most likely maximum for Cape Town on August 16, consistent with August climatology of 17–18°C highs driven by the cool Benguela Current and wintertime high-pressure dominance. Recent model guidance highlights modest variability from subtle differences in cloud cover, wind direction, and any lingering effects of earlier cold fronts, which can shift daytime peaks by 1–2°C through changes in solar insolation or adiabatic warming. With resolution hinging on official South African Weather Service observations, the tight spread among leading outcomes underscores forecast uncertainty at this lead time while underscoring the market’s aggregation of real-time meteorological data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$229End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 18–19°C as the most likely maximum for Cape Town on August 16, consistent with August climatology of 17–18°C highs driven by the cool Benguela Current and wintertime high-pressure dominance. Recent model guidance highlights modest variability from subtle differences in cloud cover, wind direction, and any lingering effects of earlier cold fronts, which can shift daytime peaks by 1–2°C through changes in solar insolation or adiabatic warming. With resolution hinging on official South African Weather Service observations, the tight spread among leading outcomes underscores forecast uncertainty at this lead time while underscoring the market’s aggregation of real-time meteorological data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$229End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 18–19°C as the most likely maximum for Cape Town on August 16, consistent with August climatology of 17–18°C highs driven by the cool Benguela Current and wintertime high-pressure dominance. Recent model guidance highlights modest variability from subtle differences in cloud cover, wind direction, and any lingering effects of earlier cold fronts, which can shift daytime peaks by 1–2°C through changes in solar insolation or adiabatic warming. With resolution hinging on official South African Weather Service observations, the tight spread among leading outcomes underscores forecast uncertainty at this lead time while underscoring the market’s aggregation of real-time meteorological data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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