Persistent subtropical high pressure and warm Atlantic sea-surface temperatures are sustaining heat across South Florida, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for sunny conditions and a daily maximum near 92°F on August 14 amid an active heat advisory. August climatology centers on 89–91°F highs, but recent observations reached 94°F, prompting traders to assign 55.5% implied probability to 92–93°F and 41% to 94–95°F. Light southeast flow, strong insolation, and limited afternoon convection or sea-breeze effects cap upside potential while keeping downside risk low. Updated model guidance and surface observations through the afternoon will refine the final recorded high before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on August 14?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 14?
92-93°F 64%
94-95°F 33%
96-97°F 2.7%
83°F or below <1%
$30,433 Vol.
$30,433 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
64%
94-95°F
33%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 64%
94-95°F 33%
96-97°F 2.7%
83°F or below <1%
$30,433 Vol.
$30,433 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
83°F or below
$284 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$497 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$881 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$1,744 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$9,595 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$9,254 Vol.
64%
94-95°F
$4,459 Vol.
33%
96-97°F
$2,101 Vol.
3%
98-99°F
$493 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$854 Vol.
<1%
102°F or higher
$272 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical high pressure and warm Atlantic sea-surface temperatures are sustaining heat across South Florida, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for sunny conditions and a daily maximum near 92°F on August 14 amid an active heat advisory. August climatology centers on 89–91°F highs, but recent observations reached 94°F, prompting traders to assign 55.5% implied probability to 92–93°F and 41% to 94–95°F. Light southeast flow, strong insolation, and limited afternoon convection or sea-breeze effects cap upside potential while keeping downside risk low. Updated model guidance and surface observations through the afternoon will refine the final recorded high before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$30,433End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical high pressure and warm Atlantic sea-surface temperatures are sustaining heat across South Florida, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for sunny conditions and a daily maximum near 92°F on August 14 amid an active heat advisory. August climatology centers on 89–91°F highs, but recent observations reached 94°F, prompting traders to assign 55.5% implied probability to 92–93°F and 41% to 94–95°F. Light southeast flow, strong insolation, and limited afternoon convection or sea-breeze effects cap upside potential while keeping downside risk low. Updated model guidance and surface observations through the afternoon will refine the final recorded high before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,433End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent subtropical high pressure and warm Atlantic sea-surface temperatures are sustaining heat across South Florida, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for sunny conditions and a daily maximum near 92°F on August 14 amid an active heat advisory. August climatology centers on 89–91°F highs, but recent observations reached 94°F, prompting traders to assign 55.5% implied probability to 92–93°F and 41% to 94–95°F. Light southeast flow, strong insolation, and limited afternoon convection or sea-breeze effects cap upside potential while keeping downside risk low. Updated model guidance and surface observations through the afternoon will refine the final recorded high before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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