Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and BBC Weather indicate a maximum temperature near 31°C in Lucknow on August 16 amid active southwest monsoon conditions. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and potential light to thundery showers limit solar insolation and convective heating, keeping daytime highs close to the seasonal average of 32°C. Trader consensus between 31°C and 32°C reflects minor model differences in rainfall timing and boundary-layer moisture, with only slight variations in wind patterns or storm intensity likely to determine the exact peak. Historical August data shows similar ranges under comparable monsoon regimes, underscoring the narrow uncertainty window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 16?
31°C 38%
32°C 36%
33°C 15%
30°C 9%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
9%
31°C
38%
32°C
36%
33°C
15%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 38%
32°C 36%
33°C 15%
30°C 9%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
9%
31°C
38%
32°C
36%
33°C
15%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and BBC Weather indicate a maximum temperature near 31°C in Lucknow on August 16 amid active southwest monsoon conditions. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and potential light to thundery showers limit solar insolation and convective heating, keeping daytime highs close to the seasonal average of 32°C. Trader consensus between 31°C and 32°C reflects minor model differences in rainfall timing and boundary-layer moisture, with only slight variations in wind patterns or storm intensity likely to determine the exact peak. Historical August data shows similar ranges under comparable monsoon regimes, underscoring the narrow uncertainty window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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