Recent official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and supporting models point to a daily high of 32–33°C on September 4 under multi-cloudy conditions with light northerly winds and low precipitation risk in the urban area. This follows a slight cooling trend from 34°C on September 1 and 33°C on September 2, driven by increasing cloud cover that reduces surface insolation while high pressure maintains warmth. Model consensus shows limited afternoon heating potential compared with clearer prior days, with any mountain showers unlikely to affect city readings. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 34°C, reflecting residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing ahead of the next forecast update.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 4?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 4?
34°C 36%
33°C 30%
32°C 18%
35°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 4, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
18%
33°C
30%
34°C
36%
35°C
11%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
34°C 36%
33°C 30%
32°C 18%
35°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 4, 2026
27°C or below
$136 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$326 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,130 Vol.
1%
30°C
$313 Vol.
1%
31°C
$497 Vol.
5%
32°C
$407 Vol.
18%
33°C
$308 Vol.
30%
34°C
$1,008 Vol.
36%
35°C
$699 Vol.
11%
36°C
$1,410 Vol.
2%
37°C or higher
$156 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and supporting models point to a daily high of 32–33°C on September 4 under multi-cloudy conditions with light northerly winds and low precipitation risk in the urban area. This follows a slight cooling trend from 34°C on September 1 and 33°C on September 2, driven by increasing cloud cover that reduces surface insolation while high pressure maintains warmth. Model consensus shows limited afternoon heating potential compared with clearer prior days, with any mountain showers unlikely to affect city readings. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 34°C, reflecting residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing ahead of the next forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$6,391End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and supporting models point to a daily high of 32–33°C on September 4 under multi-cloudy conditions with light northerly winds and low precipitation risk in the urban area. This follows a slight cooling trend from 34°C on September 1 and 33°C on September 2, driven by increasing cloud cover that reduces surface insolation while high pressure maintains warmth. Model consensus shows limited afternoon heating potential compared with clearer prior days, with any mountain showers unlikely to affect city readings. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 34°C, reflecting residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing ahead of the next forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,391End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and supporting models point to a daily high of 32–33°C on September 4 under multi-cloudy conditions with light northerly winds and low precipitation risk in the urban area. This follows a slight cooling trend from 34°C on September 1 and 33°C on September 2, driven by increasing cloud cover that reduces surface insolation while high pressure maintains warmth. Model consensus shows limited afternoon heating potential compared with clearer prior days, with any mountain showers unlikely to affect city readings. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 34°C, reflecting residual uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing ahead of the next forecast update.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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