Official observations from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional recorded a daily maximum of 24°C in Buenos Aires on September 2 under stable northwest flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity. This value aligns with the market’s 100% implied probability, reflecting verified station data rather than forecasts. September climatology typically features maxima near 19°C, so the observed warmth represented a modest positive anomaly driven by the transient ridge before an approaching cold front. Resolution criteria focus on the official highest reading, leaving little room for revision unless post-event quality control adjusts the peak by a degree—an infrequent occurrence. No major model discrepancies or measurement disputes have emerged to challenge the recorded high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 2?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 2?
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$71,735 Vol.
$71,735 Vol.
Sep 2, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$71,735 Vol.
$71,735 Vol.
Sep 2, 2026
16°C or below
$282 Vol.
No
17°C
$306 Vol.
No
18°C
$407 Vol.
No
19°C
$585 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,761 Vol.
No
21°C
$5,239 Vol.
No
22°C
$7,308 Vol.
No
23°C
$22,629 Vol.
No
24°C
$9,085 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$7,534 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$16,598 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional recorded a daily maximum of 24°C in Buenos Aires on September 2 under stable northwest flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity. This value aligns with the market’s 100% implied probability, reflecting verified station data rather than forecasts. September climatology typically features maxima near 19°C, so the observed warmth represented a modest positive anomaly driven by the transient ridge before an approaching cold front. Resolution criteria focus on the official highest reading, leaving little room for revision unless post-event quality control adjusts the peak by a degree—an infrequent occurrence. No major model discrepancies or measurement disputes have emerged to challenge the recorded high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$71,735End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 8:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional recorded a daily maximum of 24°C in Buenos Aires on September 2 under stable northwest flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity. This value aligns with the market’s 100% implied probability, reflecting verified station data rather than forecasts. September climatology typically features maxima near 19°C, so the observed warmth represented a modest positive anomaly driven by the transient ridge before an approaching cold front. Resolution criteria focus on the official highest reading, leaving little room for revision unless post-event quality control adjusts the peak by a degree—an infrequent occurrence. No major model discrepancies or measurement disputes have emerged to challenge the recorded high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$71,735End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 8:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional recorded a daily maximum of 24°C in Buenos Aires on September 2 under stable northwest flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity. This value aligns with the market’s 100% implied probability, reflecting verified station data rather than forecasts. September climatology typically features maxima near 19°C, so the observed warmth represented a modest positive anomaly driven by the transient ridge before an approaching cold front. Resolution criteria focus on the official highest reading, leaving little room for revision unless post-event quality control adjusts the peak by a degree—an infrequent occurrence. No major model discrepancies or measurement disputes have emerged to challenge the recorded high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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