**Market-implied odds heavily favor 32°C as the daily high in Tel Aviv on August 23, 2026, reflecting model consensus around typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions.** Forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com (89°F/31.7°C), the Met Office (32°C), and BBC Weather (31°C) cluster in this range under sunny skies with light westerly winds and moderate humidity. August climatology supports this positioning, with average highs near 31–32°C driven by subtropical high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and sea-breeze moderation along the coast that prevents extreme spikes. Recent model runs show no significant heatwave or anomalous warming for this specific date, keeping probabilities for 33°C modest and those for 31°C or below very low. Resolution hinges on the official Israel Meteorological Service maximum, with any late-day model shifts or localized sea-breeze strengthening the main variables that could adjust the leading outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 23?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 23?
32°C 70%
33°C 27%
31°C 5%
34°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
5%
32°C
70%
33°C
27%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 70%
33°C 27%
31°C 5%
34°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
27°C or below
$731 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$317 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$382 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$294 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,105 Vol.
5%
32°C
$2,232 Vol.
70%
33°C
$1,698 Vol.
27%
34°C
$908 Vol.
1%
35°C
$372 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$176 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$890 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds heavily favor 32°C as the daily high in Tel Aviv on August 23, 2026, reflecting model consensus around typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions.**
Forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com (89°F/31.7°C), the Met Office (32°C), and BBC Weather (31°C) cluster in this range under sunny skies with light westerly winds and moderate humidity. August climatology supports this positioning, with average highs near 31–32°C driven by subtropical high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and sea-breeze moderation along the coast that prevents extreme spikes.
Recent model runs show no significant heatwave or anomalous warming for this specific date, keeping probabilities for 33°C modest and those for 31°C or below very low. Resolution hinges on the official Israel Meteorological Service maximum, with any late-day model shifts or localized sea-breeze strengthening the main variables that could adjust the leading outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$9,103End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds heavily favor 32°C as the daily high in Tel Aviv on August 23, 2026, reflecting model consensus around typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions.**
Forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com (89°F/31.7°C), the Met Office (32°C), and BBC Weather (31°C) cluster in this range under sunny skies with light westerly winds and moderate humidity. August climatology supports this positioning, with average highs near 31–32°C driven by subtropical high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and sea-breeze moderation along the coast that prevents extreme spikes.
Recent model runs show no significant heatwave or anomalous warming for this specific date, keeping probabilities for 33°C modest and those for 31°C or below very low. Resolution hinges on the official Israel Meteorological Service maximum, with any late-day model shifts or localized sea-breeze strengthening the main variables that could adjust the leading outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,103End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds heavily favor 32°C as the daily high in Tel Aviv on August 23, 2026, reflecting model consensus around typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions.** Forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com (89°F/31.7°C), the Met Office (32°C), and BBC Weather (31°C) cluster in this range under sunny skies with light westerly winds and moderate humidity. August climatology supports this positioning, with average highs near 31–32°C driven by subtropical high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and sea-breeze moderation along the coast that prevents extreme spikes. Recent model runs show no significant heatwave or anomalous warming for this specific date, keeping probabilities for 33°C modest and those for 31°C or below very low. Resolution hinges on the official Israel Meteorological Service maximum, with any late-day model shifts or localized sea-breeze strengthening the main variables that could adjust the leading outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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