**Current forecasts and prevailing Southwest Monsoon conditions, reinforced by El Niño influences, position a daily minimum near 27–28°C as the most probable outcome for Singapore on September 5.** Official outlooks indicate nighttime lows holding above 27°C amid dry, occasionally windy weather with limited cloud cover and reduced rainfall, consistent with historical September averages of 25.2°C but shifted warmer by regional dryness. This supports the leading 28°C market-implied odds near 45%, while the 22°C-or-below and 32°C-or-higher options reflect low-probability extremes given the narrow tropical temperature range and absence of cooling mechanisms such as strong rain-cooled outflows. Recent NEA guidance highlights persistently warm, humid nights through the first fortnight, with model consensus favoring minimal overnight drops absent unexpected convective activity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Singapore on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Singapore on September 5?
22°C or below 69%
32°C or higher 69%
29°C 48%
24°C 47%
NEW
NEW
Sep 5, 2026
22°C or below
69%
23°C
18%
24°C
47%
25°C
24%
26°C
28%
27°C
31%
28°C
45%
29°C
48%
30°C
8%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
69%
22°C or below 69%
32°C or higher 69%
29°C 48%
24°C 47%
NEW
NEW
Sep 5, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
69%
23°C
$0 Vol.
18%
24°C
$0 Vol.
47%
25°C
$0 Vol.
24%
26°C
$0 Vol.
28%
27°C
$0 Vol.
31%
28°C
$0 Vol.
45%
29°C
$0 Vol.
48%
30°C
$0 Vol.
8%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts and prevailing Southwest Monsoon conditions, reinforced by El Niño influences, position a daily minimum near 27–28°C as the most probable outcome for Singapore on September 5.** Official outlooks indicate nighttime lows holding above 27°C amid dry, occasionally windy weather with limited cloud cover and reduced rainfall, consistent with historical September averages of 25.2°C but shifted warmer by regional dryness. This supports the leading 28°C market-implied odds near 45%, while the 22°C-or-below and 32°C-or-higher options reflect low-probability extremes given the narrow tropical temperature range and absence of cooling mechanisms such as strong rain-cooled outflows. Recent NEA guidance highlights persistently warm, humid nights through the first fortnight, with model consensus favoring minimal overnight drops absent unexpected convective activity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts and prevailing Southwest Monsoon conditions, reinforced by El Niño influences, position a daily minimum near 27–28°C as the most probable outcome for Singapore on September 5.** Official outlooks indicate nighttime lows holding above 27°C amid dry, occasionally windy weather with limited cloud cover and reduced rainfall, consistent with historical September averages of 25.2°C but shifted warmer by regional dryness. This supports the leading 28°C market-implied odds near 45%, while the 22°C-or-below and 32°C-or-higher options reflect low-probability extremes given the narrow tropical temperature range and absence of cooling mechanisms such as strong rain-cooled outflows. Recent NEA guidance highlights persistently warm, humid nights through the first fortnight, with model consensus favoring minimal overnight drops absent unexpected convective activity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts and prevailing Southwest Monsoon conditions, reinforced by El Niño influences, position a daily minimum near 27–28°C as the most probable outcome for Singapore on September 5.** Official outlooks indicate nighttime lows holding above 27°C amid dry, occasionally windy weather with limited cloud cover and reduced rainfall, consistent with historical September averages of 25.2°C but shifted warmer by regional dryness. This supports the leading 28°C market-implied odds near 45%, while the 22°C-or-below and 32°C-or-higher options reflect low-probability extremes given the narrow tropical temperature range and absence of cooling mechanisms such as strong rain-cooled outflows. Recent NEA guidance highlights persistently warm, humid nights through the first fortnight, with model consensus favoring minimal overnight drops absent unexpected convective activity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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