Official National Weather Service forecasts indicate an overnight low near 66–68°F for New York City on August 23, driven by moderate radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies, light variable winds shifting from easterly to westerly, and lingering moisture from earlier showers that limit temperature drops. Recent model runs and observations from Central Park and LaGuardia show minimums in the upper 60s amid humid conditions with dew points near 66°F, which reduces the diurnal range. Trader emphasis on the 68–71°F bins reflects uncertainty in exact clearing timing and boundary-layer mixing, as even modest increases in wind or cloud cover can hold temperatures 2–3°F above radiational cooling potential. Upcoming evening updates from the National Weather Service will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on August 23?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 23?
70-71°F 48%
68-69°F 25%
72-73°F 24%
66-67°F 21%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
59°F or below
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
14%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
21%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
44%
72-73°F
24%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
15%
78°F or higher
2%
70-71°F 48%
68-69°F 25%
72-73°F 24%
66-67°F 21%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
59°F or below
$35 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$208 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$272 Vol.
14%
64-65°F
$78 Vol.
9%
66-67°F
$25 Vol.
21%
68-69°F
$44 Vol.
25%
70-71°F
$148 Vol.
44%
72-73°F
$329 Vol.
24%
74-75°F
$96 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$148 Vol.
15%
78°F or higher
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts indicate an overnight low near 66–68°F for New York City on August 23, driven by moderate radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies, light variable winds shifting from easterly to westerly, and lingering moisture from earlier showers that limit temperature drops. Recent model runs and observations from Central Park and LaGuardia show minimums in the upper 60s amid humid conditions with dew points near 66°F, which reduces the diurnal range. Trader emphasis on the 68–71°F bins reflects uncertainty in exact clearing timing and boundary-layer mixing, as even modest increases in wind or cloud cover can hold temperatures 2–3°F above radiational cooling potential. Upcoming evening updates from the National Weather Service will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$1,393End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts indicate an overnight low near 66–68°F for New York City on August 23, driven by moderate radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies, light variable winds shifting from easterly to westerly, and lingering moisture from earlier showers that limit temperature drops. Recent model runs and observations from Central Park and LaGuardia show minimums in the upper 60s amid humid conditions with dew points near 66°F, which reduces the diurnal range. Trader emphasis on the 68–71°F bins reflects uncertainty in exact clearing timing and boundary-layer mixing, as even modest increases in wind or cloud cover can hold temperatures 2–3°F above radiational cooling potential. Upcoming evening updates from the National Weather Service will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,393End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts indicate an overnight low near 66–68°F for New York City on August 23, driven by moderate radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies, light variable winds shifting from easterly to westerly, and lingering moisture from earlier showers that limit temperature drops. Recent model runs and observations from Central Park and LaGuardia show minimums in the upper 60s amid humid conditions with dew points near 66°F, which reduces the diurnal range. Trader emphasis on the 68–71°F bins reflects uncertainty in exact clearing timing and boundary-layer mixing, as even modest increases in wind or cloud cover can hold temperatures 2–3°F above radiational cooling potential. Upcoming evening updates from the National Weather Service will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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