National Weather Service observations confirmed an 82°F overnight low at Miami International Airport on August 14, 2026, aligning with the market's 99% implied probability for the 82-83°F bin. This outcome reflects persistent subtropical conditions typical of mid-August, including elevated Atlantic sea-surface temperatures near 86°F that suppressed radiational cooling, high humidity limiting temperature drops, and partly cloudy skies under a weak pressure gradient with minimal frontal influence. Climatological normals for the period show average lows near 78°F, yet recent heat-advisory patterns and model consensus from NOAA kept forecasts anchored at or above 82°F. Clearer skies or stronger easterly winds could have enhanced cooling toward 80-81°F, though official guidance indicated low likelihood of such deviations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 14?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 14?
82-83°F 99%
80-81°F 3%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$7,005 Vol.
$7,005 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
99%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 99%
80-81°F 3%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$7,005 Vol.
$7,005 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
71°F or below
$291 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$296 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$662 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$724 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$1,036 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$737 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$1,112 Vol.
99%
84-85°F
$779 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$455 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$615 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$298 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service observations confirmed an 82°F overnight low at Miami International Airport on August 14, 2026, aligning with the market's 99% implied probability for the 82-83°F bin. This outcome reflects persistent subtropical conditions typical of mid-August, including elevated Atlantic sea-surface temperatures near 86°F that suppressed radiational cooling, high humidity limiting temperature drops, and partly cloudy skies under a weak pressure gradient with minimal frontal influence. Climatological normals for the period show average lows near 78°F, yet recent heat-advisory patterns and model consensus from NOAA kept forecasts anchored at or above 82°F. Clearer skies or stronger easterly winds could have enhanced cooling toward 80-81°F, though official guidance indicated low likelihood of such deviations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$7,005End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service observations confirmed an 82°F overnight low at Miami International Airport on August 14, 2026, aligning with the market's 99% implied probability for the 82-83°F bin. This outcome reflects persistent subtropical conditions typical of mid-August, including elevated Atlantic sea-surface temperatures near 86°F that suppressed radiational cooling, high humidity limiting temperature drops, and partly cloudy skies under a weak pressure gradient with minimal frontal influence. Climatological normals for the period show average lows near 78°F, yet recent heat-advisory patterns and model consensus from NOAA kept forecasts anchored at or above 82°F. Clearer skies or stronger easterly winds could have enhanced cooling toward 80-81°F, though official guidance indicated low likelihood of such deviations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,005End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service observations confirmed an 82°F overnight low at Miami International Airport on August 14, 2026, aligning with the market's 99% implied probability for the 82-83°F bin. This outcome reflects persistent subtropical conditions typical of mid-August, including elevated Atlantic sea-surface temperatures near 86°F that suppressed radiational cooling, high humidity limiting temperature drops, and partly cloudy skies under a weak pressure gradient with minimal frontal influence. Climatological normals for the period show average lows near 78°F, yet recent heat-advisory patterns and model consensus from NOAA kept forecasts anchored at or above 82°F. Clearer skies or stronger easterly winds could have enhanced cooling toward 80-81°F, though official guidance indicated low likelihood of such deviations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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