Recent forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models converged on a nighttime low near 14–16°C for Mexico City on September 2, driven by the city’s 2,240 m elevation, which promotes rapid radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies during the rainy season. Persistent moisture and scattered thunderstorms limited overnight temperature drops, keeping readings above the 10°C threshold that would have favored lower-probability outcomes. Trader sentiment remains split because official station data can vary by a degree or two depending on the precise measurement site and timing, while historical September minima average around 10–12°C. Updated model runs and the final Servicio Meteorológico Nacional bulletin will determine whether the recorded low settles at 14°C or dips into single digits.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Mexico City on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on September 2?
8°C or below 99%
14°C 50%
12°C 5%
11°C 3%
$762 Vol.
$762 Vol.
Sep 2, 2026
8°C or below
99%
9°C
-
10°C
-
11°C
3%
12°C
5%
13°C
3%
14°C
50%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
8°C or below 99%
14°C 50%
12°C 5%
11°C 3%
$762 Vol.
$762 Vol.
Sep 2, 2026
8°C or below
$12 Vol.
99%
9°C
$27 Vol.
-
10°C
$32 Vol.
-
11°C
$127 Vol.
3%
12°C
$112 Vol.
5%
13°C
$122 Vol.
3%
14°C
$0 Vol.
50%
15°C
$179 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$59 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$59 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$33 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models converged on a nighttime low near 14–16°C for Mexico City on September 2, driven by the city’s 2,240 m elevation, which promotes rapid radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies during the rainy season. Persistent moisture and scattered thunderstorms limited overnight temperature drops, keeping readings above the 10°C threshold that would have favored lower-probability outcomes. Trader sentiment remains split because official station data can vary by a degree or two depending on the precise measurement site and timing, while historical September minima average around 10–12°C. Updated model runs and the final Servicio Meteorológico Nacional bulletin will determine whether the recorded low settles at 14°C or dips into single digits.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$762End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models converged on a nighttime low near 14–16°C for Mexico City on September 2, driven by the city’s 2,240 m elevation, which promotes rapid radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies during the rainy season. Persistent moisture and scattered thunderstorms limited overnight temperature drops, keeping readings above the 10°C threshold that would have favored lower-probability outcomes. Trader sentiment remains split because official station data can vary by a degree or two depending on the precise measurement site and timing, while historical September minima average around 10–12°C. Updated model runs and the final Servicio Meteorológico Nacional bulletin will determine whether the recorded low settles at 14°C or dips into single digits.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$762End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models converged on a nighttime low near 14–16°C for Mexico City on September 2, driven by the city’s 2,240 m elevation, which promotes rapid radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies during the rainy season. Persistent moisture and scattered thunderstorms limited overnight temperature drops, keeping readings above the 10°C threshold that would have favored lower-probability outcomes. Trader sentiment remains split because official station data can vary by a degree or two depending on the precise measurement site and timing, while historical September minima average around 10–12°C. Updated model runs and the final Servicio Meteorológico Nacional bulletin will determine whether the recorded low settles at 14°C or dips into single digits.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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