Mexico City's high-altitude location (roughly 2,240 meters) and August rainy season create significant overnight cooling potential, with minimum temperatures typically driven by radiative heat loss under clear skies versus moderation from cloud cover and showers. Current forecasts from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models point to typical lows near 12–14°C on August 23 amid scattered rain and overcast conditions that limit extreme drops. This scientific uncertainty—variable convection, humidity, and steering patterns—explains the tight market clustering around outcomes from single digits to the high teens, as traders weigh the balance between clear-sky cooling and precipitation effects ahead of final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 23?
9°C or below 94%
19°C or higher 90%
18°C 85%
15°C 46%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
9°C or below
94%
10°C
2%
11°C
33%
12°C
33%
13°C
42%
14°C
26%
15°C
46%
16°C
33%
17°C
24%
18°C
85%
19°C or higher
90%
9°C or below 94%
19°C or higher 90%
18°C 85%
15°C 46%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
9°C or below
$15 Vol.
94%
10°C
$20 Vol.
2%
11°C
$0 Vol.
33%
12°C
$0 Vol.
33%
13°C
$0 Vol.
42%
14°C
$428 Vol.
26%
15°C
$225 Vol.
46%
16°C
$30 Vol.
33%
17°C
$15 Vol.
24%
18°C
$20 Vol.
85%
19°C or higher
$16 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high-altitude location (roughly 2,240 meters) and August rainy season create significant overnight cooling potential, with minimum temperatures typically driven by radiative heat loss under clear skies versus moderation from cloud cover and showers. Current forecasts from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models point to typical lows near 12–14°C on August 23 amid scattered rain and overcast conditions that limit extreme drops. This scientific uncertainty—variable convection, humidity, and steering patterns—explains the tight market clustering around outcomes from single digits to the high teens, as traders weigh the balance between clear-sky cooling and precipitation effects ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$769End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high-altitude location (roughly 2,240 meters) and August rainy season create significant overnight cooling potential, with minimum temperatures typically driven by radiative heat loss under clear skies versus moderation from cloud cover and showers. Current forecasts from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models point to typical lows near 12–14°C on August 23 amid scattered rain and overcast conditions that limit extreme drops. This scientific uncertainty—variable convection, humidity, and steering patterns—explains the tight market clustering around outcomes from single digits to the high teens, as traders weigh the balance between clear-sky cooling and precipitation effects ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$769End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's high-altitude location (roughly 2,240 meters) and August rainy season create significant overnight cooling potential, with minimum temperatures typically driven by radiative heat loss under clear skies versus moderation from cloud cover and showers. Current forecasts from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models point to typical lows near 12–14°C on August 23 amid scattered rain and overcast conditions that limit extreme drops. This scientific uncertainty—variable convection, humidity, and steering patterns—explains the tight market clustering around outcomes from single digits to the high teens, as traders weigh the balance between clear-sky cooling and precipitation effects ahead of final observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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