Current National Weather Service and private forecast models indicate the overnight low for Los Angeles on September 4 will likely settle in the mid-60s, driven by a persistent marine layer and light onshore flow that moderates coastal temperatures. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 64.5 °F for the date, while historical extremes range from a record 55 °F to occasional warmer nights near 70 °F under offshore winds. Trader emphasis on the 66–67 °F bin over 64–65 °F reflects slight upward bias in recent model guidance and uncertainty around exact timing of any clearing or wind shift, with lower-probability outcomes like 74 °F+ or sub-60 °F representing low-likelihood deviations from typical late-summer conditions. Updated model runs and official National Weather Service briefings expected overnight will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 4?
74°F or higher 70%
66-67°F 51%
55°F or below 39%
60-61°F 35%
NEW
NEW
Sep 4, 2026
55°F or below
39%
56-57°F
26%
58-59°F
34%
60-61°F
35%
62-63°F
20%
64-65°F
30%
66-67°F
51%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
29%
74°F or higher
70%
74°F or higher 70%
66-67°F 51%
55°F or below 39%
60-61°F 35%
NEW
NEW
Sep 4, 2026
55°F or below
$0 Vol.
39%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
26%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
34%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
35%
62-63°F
$13 Vol.
20%
64-65°F
$16 Vol.
30%
66-67°F
$37 Vol.
51%
68-69°F
$73 Vol.
12%
70-71°F
$5 Vol.
9%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
29%
74°F or higher
$0 Vol.
70%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and private forecast models indicate the overnight low for Los Angeles on September 4 will likely settle in the mid-60s, driven by a persistent marine layer and light onshore flow that moderates coastal temperatures. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 64.5 °F for the date, while historical extremes range from a record 55 °F to occasional warmer nights near 70 °F under offshore winds. Trader emphasis on the 66–67 °F bin over 64–65 °F reflects slight upward bias in recent model guidance and uncertainty around exact timing of any clearing or wind shift, with lower-probability outcomes like 74 °F+ or sub-60 °F representing low-likelihood deviations from typical late-summer conditions. Updated model runs and official National Weather Service briefings expected overnight will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$143End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and private forecast models indicate the overnight low for Los Angeles on September 4 will likely settle in the mid-60s, driven by a persistent marine layer and light onshore flow that moderates coastal temperatures. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 64.5 °F for the date, while historical extremes range from a record 55 °F to occasional warmer nights near 70 °F under offshore winds. Trader emphasis on the 66–67 °F bin over 64–65 °F reflects slight upward bias in recent model guidance and uncertainty around exact timing of any clearing or wind shift, with lower-probability outcomes like 74 °F+ or sub-60 °F representing low-likelihood deviations from typical late-summer conditions. Updated model runs and official National Weather Service briefings expected overnight will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$143End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and private forecast models indicate the overnight low for Los Angeles on September 4 will likely settle in the mid-60s, driven by a persistent marine layer and light onshore flow that moderates coastal temperatures. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 64.5 °F for the date, while historical extremes range from a record 55 °F to occasional warmer nights near 70 °F under offshore winds. Trader emphasis on the 66–67 °F bin over 64–65 °F reflects slight upward bias in recent model guidance and uncertainty around exact timing of any clearing or wind shift, with lower-probability outcomes like 74 °F+ or sub-60 °F representing low-likelihood deviations from typical late-summer conditions. Updated model runs and official National Weather Service briefings expected overnight will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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