**Market-implied odds favor a Kuala Lumpur low of 25–26°C on September 3 because current forecast models project overnight temperatures stabilizing in that narrow band under typical equatorial conditions.** High humidity near 80–90% combined with persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limits radiative cooling overnight, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise drop readings further. Seasonal September baselines for the city show average lows near 24°C, but elevated moisture from regional monsoon influences and the urban heat island effect support the slightly warmer consensus. Minor model differences in the exact timing or extent of cloud breaks explain the close 51%–45% split between 26°C and 25°C, with lower outcomes like 24°C or below remaining possible only if clearer skies develop than currently expected. Official observations from the Malaysian Meteorological Department will resolve the market once the daily minimum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 3?
20°C or below 78%
26°C 51%
25°C 45%
24°C 22%
20°C or below
78%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C
22%
25°C
45%
26°C
51%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
20°C or below 78%
26°C 51%
25°C 45%
24°C 22%
20°C or below
78%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C
22%
25°C
45%
26°C
51%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds favor a Kuala Lumpur low of 25–26°C on September 3 because current forecast models project overnight temperatures stabilizing in that narrow band under typical equatorial conditions.** High humidity near 80–90% combined with persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limits radiative cooling overnight, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise drop readings further. Seasonal September baselines for the city show average lows near 24°C, but elevated moisture from regional monsoon influences and the urban heat island effect support the slightly warmer consensus. Minor model differences in the exact timing or extent of cloud breaks explain the close 51%–45% split between 26°C and 25°C, with lower outcomes like 24°C or below remaining possible only if clearer skies develop than currently expected. Official observations from the Malaysian Meteorological Department will resolve the market once the daily minimum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions