Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate mild spring conditions for Wellington on September 5, with daytime highs projected near 13–15°C amid typical westerly flow and moderate winds across Cook Strait. This aligns closely with climatological norms for early September, when average highs reach 13–14°C as the region transitions from winter. Trader consensus favoring 15°C and 16°C outcomes reflects model agreement on limited warming potential due to persistent cloud cover and marine influence, which moderates extremes. Shorter-range updates from sources like MetService or NIWA could shift probabilities if clearer skies allow brief spikes toward 17°C, though current data show low odds for outliers above 18°C given stable atmospheric patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on September 5?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 5?
15°C 48%
16°C 43%
17°C 15%
14°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 5, 2026
10°C or below
2%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
2%
14°C
15%
15°C
48%
16°C
33%
17°C
15%
18°C
3%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
2%
15°C 48%
16°C 43%
17°C 15%
14°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 5, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
11°C
$15 Vol.
1%
12°C
$0 Vol.
2%
13°C
$0 Vol.
2%
14°C
$34 Vol.
15%
15°C
$89 Vol.
48%
16°C
$65 Vol.
33%
17°C
$38 Vol.
15%
18°C
$10 Vol.
3%
19°C
$0 Vol.
3%
20°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate mild spring conditions for Wellington on September 5, with daytime highs projected near 13–15°C amid typical westerly flow and moderate winds across Cook Strait. This aligns closely with climatological norms for early September, when average highs reach 13–14°C as the region transitions from winter. Trader consensus favoring 15°C and 16°C outcomes reflects model agreement on limited warming potential due to persistent cloud cover and marine influence, which moderates extremes. Shorter-range updates from sources like MetService or NIWA could shift probabilities if clearer skies allow brief spikes toward 17°C, though current data show low odds for outliers above 18°C given stable atmospheric patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$251End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate mild spring conditions for Wellington on September 5, with daytime highs projected near 13–15°C amid typical westerly flow and moderate winds across Cook Strait. This aligns closely with climatological norms for early September, when average highs reach 13–14°C as the region transitions from winter. Trader consensus favoring 15°C and 16°C outcomes reflects model agreement on limited warming potential due to persistent cloud cover and marine influence, which moderates extremes. Shorter-range updates from sources like MetService or NIWA could shift probabilities if clearer skies allow brief spikes toward 17°C, though current data show low odds for outliers above 18°C given stable atmospheric patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$251End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate mild spring conditions for Wellington on September 5, with daytime highs projected near 13–15°C amid typical westerly flow and moderate winds across Cook Strait. This aligns closely with climatological norms for early September, when average highs reach 13–14°C as the region transitions from winter. Trader consensus favoring 15°C and 16°C outcomes reflects model agreement on limited warming potential due to persistent cloud cover and marine influence, which moderates extremes. Shorter-range updates from sources like MetService or NIWA could shift probabilities if clearer skies allow brief spikes toward 17°C, though current data show low odds for outliers above 18°C given stable atmospheric patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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