Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional ensembles indicate a peak daytime temperature in Tel Aviv on August 24 likely to reach 32–33°C under mostly clear skies, westerly flow, and stable high pressure, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. August climatology features average highs near 31–32°C along the coastal plain, with current conditions showing modest relief from an earlier heat wave but still above baseline due to strong insolation and low humidity. Minor model spreads arise from exact peak timing and localized sea-breeze effects, keeping 31°C or 34°C as lower-probability alternatives while ruling out extremes given the absence of synoptic shifts or moisture. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine the final maximum before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 24?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 24?
33°C 57%
32°C 36%
34°C 6%
31°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
5%
32°C
36%
33°C
57%
34°C
6%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 57%
32°C 36%
34°C 6%
31°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
29°C or below
$307 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$290 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$346 Vol.
5%
32°C
$792 Vol.
36%
33°C
$707 Vol.
57%
34°C
$426 Vol.
6%
35°C
$232 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$378 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$582 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$529 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$115 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional ensembles indicate a peak daytime temperature in Tel Aviv on August 24 likely to reach 32–33°C under mostly clear skies, westerly flow, and stable high pressure, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. August climatology features average highs near 31–32°C along the coastal plain, with current conditions showing modest relief from an earlier heat wave but still above baseline due to strong insolation and low humidity. Minor model spreads arise from exact peak timing and localized sea-breeze effects, keeping 31°C or 34°C as lower-probability alternatives while ruling out extremes given the absence of synoptic shifts or moisture. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine the final maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,704End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional ensembles indicate a peak daytime temperature in Tel Aviv on August 24 likely to reach 32–33°C under mostly clear skies, westerly flow, and stable high pressure, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. August climatology features average highs near 31–32°C along the coastal plain, with current conditions showing modest relief from an earlier heat wave but still above baseline due to strong insolation and low humidity. Minor model spreads arise from exact peak timing and localized sea-breeze effects, keeping 31°C or 34°C as lower-probability alternatives while ruling out extremes given the absence of synoptic shifts or moisture. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine the final maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,704End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional ensembles indicate a peak daytime temperature in Tel Aviv on August 24 likely to reach 32–33°C under mostly clear skies, westerly flow, and stable high pressure, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. August climatology features average highs near 31–32°C along the coastal plain, with current conditions showing modest relief from an earlier heat wave but still above baseline due to strong insolation and low humidity. Minor model spreads arise from exact peak timing and localized sea-breeze effects, keeping 31°C or 34°C as lower-probability alternatives while ruling out extremes given the absence of synoptic shifts or moisture. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine the final maximum before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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