Current short-term forecasts for Jeddah on September 4 point to a daily maximum near 38°C, aligning with the market's leading 43% implied probability for that outcome and 27.5% for 39°C. Jeddah's Red Sea coastal setting produces hot, humid conditions moderated by land-sea breezes and persistent subsidence typical of early September, when regional averages reach 37–38°C per National Center for Meteorology baselines. Recent model consensus shows stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover supporting these readings without significant anomalies or cooling inflows. Traders appear to weigh this climatological pattern against forecast uncertainty, as small shifts in wind or moisture could tip the peak between 37°C and 39°C before official observations finalize the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on September 4?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on September 4?
38°C 43%
39°C 28%
37°C 18%
40°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 4, 2026
31°C or below
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
2%
36°C
4%
37°C
18%
38°C
43%
39°C
28%
40°C
5%
41°C or higher
3%
38°C 43%
39°C 28%
37°C 18%
40°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 4, 2026
31°C or below
$96 Vol.
1%
32°C
$96 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$106 Vol.
1%
34°C
$389 Vol.
1%
35°C
$61 Vol.
2%
36°C
$111 Vol.
4%
37°C
$158 Vol.
18%
38°C
$173 Vol.
43%
39°C
$392 Vol.
28%
40°C
$277 Vol.
5%
41°C or higher
$355 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts for Jeddah on September 4 point to a daily maximum near 38°C, aligning with the market's leading 43% implied probability for that outcome and 27.5% for 39°C. Jeddah's Red Sea coastal setting produces hot, humid conditions moderated by land-sea breezes and persistent subsidence typical of early September, when regional averages reach 37–38°C per National Center for Meteorology baselines. Recent model consensus shows stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover supporting these readings without significant anomalies or cooling inflows. Traders appear to weigh this climatological pattern against forecast uncertainty, as small shifts in wind or moisture could tip the peak between 37°C and 39°C before official observations finalize the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$2,213End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts for Jeddah on September 4 point to a daily maximum near 38°C, aligning with the market's leading 43% implied probability for that outcome and 27.5% for 39°C. Jeddah's Red Sea coastal setting produces hot, humid conditions moderated by land-sea breezes and persistent subsidence typical of early September, when regional averages reach 37–38°C per National Center for Meteorology baselines. Recent model consensus shows stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover supporting these readings without significant anomalies or cooling inflows. Traders appear to weigh this climatological pattern against forecast uncertainty, as small shifts in wind or moisture could tip the peak between 37°C and 39°C before official observations finalize the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,213End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term forecasts for Jeddah on September 4 point to a daily maximum near 38°C, aligning with the market's leading 43% implied probability for that outcome and 27.5% for 39°C. Jeddah's Red Sea coastal setting produces hot, humid conditions moderated by land-sea breezes and persistent subsidence typical of early September, when regional averages reach 37–38°C per National Center for Meteorology baselines. Recent model consensus shows stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover supporting these readings without significant anomalies or cooling inflows. Traders appear to weigh this climatological pattern against forecast uncertainty, as small shifts in wind or moisture could tip the peak between 37°C and 39°C before official observations finalize the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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