Persistent high pressure and subsidence across Southeast Texas are suppressing cloud cover and rainfall on August 23, maximizing solar insolation and supporting afternoon highs near 101–103 °F according to National Weather Service and model consensus. Light southwest winds and dew points in the mid-70s maintain high heat indices above 108 °F while allowing air temperatures to climb, consistent with the recent multi-day heat wave that produced 99–102 °F readings earlier in the week. These conditions position the 100–101 °F bin as the market favorite at 62.5 % implied probability, with modest odds on 102–103 °F reflecting residual model spread and the possibility of a slightly cooler official airport observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on August 23?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 23?
100-101°F 63%
98-99°F 25%
102-103°F 14%
104-105°F 1.5%
NEW
$13,181 Vol.
NEW
$13,181 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
25%
100-101°F
63%
102-103°F
14%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 63%
98-99°F 25%
102-103°F 14%
104-105°F 1.5%
NEW
$13,181 Vol.
NEW
$13,181 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
93°F or below
$438 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$294 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$1,648 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$2,055 Vol.
25%
100-101°F
$4,258 Vol.
63%
102-103°F
$2,356 Vol.
14%
104-105°F
$745 Vol.
2%
106-107°F
$359 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$269 Vol.
<1%
110-111°F
$347 Vol.
<1%
112°F or higher
$413 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and subsidence across Southeast Texas are suppressing cloud cover and rainfall on August 23, maximizing solar insolation and supporting afternoon highs near 101–103 °F according to National Weather Service and model consensus. Light southwest winds and dew points in the mid-70s maintain high heat indices above 108 °F while allowing air temperatures to climb, consistent with the recent multi-day heat wave that produced 99–102 °F readings earlier in the week. These conditions position the 100–101 °F bin as the market favorite at 62.5 % implied probability, with modest odds on 102–103 °F reflecting residual model spread and the possibility of a slightly cooler official airport observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
Volume
$13,181End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and subsidence across Southeast Texas are suppressing cloud cover and rainfall on August 23, maximizing solar insolation and supporting afternoon highs near 101–103 °F according to National Weather Service and model consensus. Light southwest winds and dew points in the mid-70s maintain high heat indices above 108 °F while allowing air temperatures to climb, consistent with the recent multi-day heat wave that produced 99–102 °F readings earlier in the week. These conditions position the 100–101 °F bin as the market favorite at 62.5 % implied probability, with modest odds on 102–103 °F reflecting residual model spread and the possibility of a slightly cooler official airport observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,181End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and subsidence across Southeast Texas are suppressing cloud cover and rainfall on August 23, maximizing solar insolation and supporting afternoon highs near 101–103 °F according to National Weather Service and model consensus. Light southwest winds and dew points in the mid-70s maintain high heat indices above 108 °F while allowing air temperatures to climb, consistent with the recent multi-day heat wave that produced 99–102 °F readings earlier in the week. These conditions position the 100–101 °F bin as the market favorite at 62.5 % implied probability, with modest odds on 102–103 °F reflecting residual model spread and the possibility of a slightly cooler official airport observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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