Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90-95%, and widespread showers or thunderstorms forecast for Taipei on September 4 are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and anchoring overnight lows near 25-26°C. Official guidance from sources including the Central Weather Administration and ensemble models shows minimum temperatures in that narrow band amid light winds and saturated air masses typical of early September subtropical patterns. This consensus supports the market's heaviest positioning on 26°C while keeping nearby values like 25°C or 27°C viable depending on exact timing of rainfall and any late-model adjustments. Historical September baselines for Taipei reinforce that such conditions rarely produce extremes below 24°C or above 28°C without major synoptic shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Taipei on September 4?
30°C 80%
22°C 75%
29°C 75%
27°C 73%
21°C or below
34%
22°C
75%
23°C
71%
24°C
37%
25°C
34%
26°C
68%
27°C
73%
28°C
66%
29°C
75%
30°C
80%
31°C or higher
34%
30°C 80%
22°C 75%
29°C 75%
27°C 73%
21°C or below
34%
22°C
75%
23°C
71%
24°C
37%
25°C
34%
26°C
68%
27°C
73%
28°C
66%
29°C
75%
30°C
80%
31°C or higher
34%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90-95%, and widespread showers or thunderstorms forecast for Taipei on September 4 are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and anchoring overnight lows near 25-26°C. Official guidance from sources including the Central Weather Administration and ensemble models shows minimum temperatures in that narrow band amid light winds and saturated air masses typical of early September subtropical patterns. This consensus supports the market's heaviest positioning on 26°C while keeping nearby values like 25°C or 27°C viable depending on exact timing of rainfall and any late-model adjustments. Historical September baselines for Taipei reinforce that such conditions rarely produce extremes below 24°C or above 28°C without major synoptic shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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