**Trader sentiment for Seoul/Incheon’s August 16 minimum temperature centers on 24°C (46% implied probability) because official short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and supporting models consistently project an overnight low near 24°C amid easing heat and light rain.** Mid-August climatology for the region features average lows of 22–24°C under humid monsoon conditions, with radiative cooling limited by high dew points and cloud cover. Recent developments include scattered showers expected through August 16–17 that reduce daytime heat buildup and moderate nighttime temperatures; current KMA runs show a 24°C minimum and 31°C maximum for the 16th, with only 20% precipitation probability after earlier activity. Ensemble guidance shows little spread around this value, though slightly cooler 23°C outcomes gain traction if showers linger or skies clear more than anticipated. Higher (25°C+) or lower (≤22°C) bins remain lower-probability because no strong high-pressure ridge or cold-air advection is forecast in the next 48 hours. The market therefore reflects consensus around typical late-summer marine-influenced minima rather than any anomalous signal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 16?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 16?
24°C 46%
25°C 24%
23°C 22%
26°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
22%
24°C
46%
25°C
24%
26°C
6%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 46%
25°C 24%
23°C 22%
26°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
19°C or below
$54 Vol.
1%
20°C
$46 Vol.
1%
21°C
$74 Vol.
2%
22°C
$205 Vol.
3%
23°C
$485 Vol.
22%
24°C
$1,537 Vol.
46%
25°C
$612 Vol.
24%
26°C
$137 Vol.
6%
27°C
$39 Vol.
3%
28°C
$37 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$47 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Seoul/Incheon’s August 16 minimum temperature centers on 24°C (46% implied probability) because official short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and supporting models consistently project an overnight low near 24°C amid easing heat and light rain.**
Mid-August climatology for the region features average lows of 22–24°C under humid monsoon conditions, with radiative cooling limited by high dew points and cloud cover. Recent developments include scattered showers expected through August 16–17 that reduce daytime heat buildup and moderate nighttime temperatures; current KMA runs show a 24°C minimum and 31°C maximum for the 16th, with only 20% precipitation probability after earlier activity. Ensemble guidance shows little spread around this value, though slightly cooler 23°C outcomes gain traction if showers linger or skies clear more than anticipated. Higher (25°C+) or lower (≤22°C) bins remain lower-probability because no strong high-pressure ridge or cold-air advection is forecast in the next 48 hours. The market therefore reflects consensus around typical late-summer marine-influenced minima rather than any anomalous signal.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$3,272End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Seoul/Incheon’s August 16 minimum temperature centers on 24°C (46% implied probability) because official short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and supporting models consistently project an overnight low near 24°C amid easing heat and light rain.**
Mid-August climatology for the region features average lows of 22–24°C under humid monsoon conditions, with radiative cooling limited by high dew points and cloud cover. Recent developments include scattered showers expected through August 16–17 that reduce daytime heat buildup and moderate nighttime temperatures; current KMA runs show a 24°C minimum and 31°C maximum for the 16th, with only 20% precipitation probability after earlier activity. Ensemble guidance shows little spread around this value, though slightly cooler 23°C outcomes gain traction if showers linger or skies clear more than anticipated. Higher (25°C+) or lower (≤22°C) bins remain lower-probability because no strong high-pressure ridge or cold-air advection is forecast in the next 48 hours. The market therefore reflects consensus around typical late-summer marine-influenced minima rather than any anomalous signal.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,272End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Seoul/Incheon’s August 16 minimum temperature centers on 24°C (46% implied probability) because official short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and supporting models consistently project an overnight low near 24°C amid easing heat and light rain.** Mid-August climatology for the region features average lows of 22–24°C under humid monsoon conditions, with radiative cooling limited by high dew points and cloud cover. Recent developments include scattered showers expected through August 16–17 that reduce daytime heat buildup and moderate nighttime temperatures; current KMA runs show a 24°C minimum and 31°C maximum for the 16th, with only 20% precipitation probability after earlier activity. Ensemble guidance shows little spread around this value, though slightly cooler 23°C outcomes gain traction if showers linger or skies clear more than anticipated. Higher (25°C+) or lower (≤22°C) bins remain lower-probability because no strong high-pressure ridge or cold-air advection is forecast in the next 48 hours. The market therefore reflects consensus around typical late-summer marine-influenced minima rather than any anomalous signal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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