Recent forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international sources indicate a warm, humid air mass under the North Pacific High will drive daytime highs in Busan near 30–32°C on August 15, with 31°C emerging as the market leader due to consensus runs showing limited daytime heating from cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms. Typical August climatology supports this range, with historical averages near 30°C and frequent tropical nights, though steering patterns and precipitation timing introduce modest uncertainty that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh these model outputs heavily against the risk of stronger convection capping temperatures closer to 30°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 15?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 15?
31°C 49%
32°C 33%
30°C 13%
33°C 5%
NEW
$10,960 Vol.
NEW
$10,960 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
13%
31°C
49%
32°C
33%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 49%
32°C 33%
30°C 13%
33°C 5%
NEW
$10,960 Vol.
NEW
$10,960 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
25°C or below
$309 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$173 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,008 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$667 Vol.
1%
29°C
$669 Vol.
3%
30°C
$3,055 Vol.
13%
31°C
$1,821 Vol.
49%
32°C
$1,615 Vol.
33%
33°C
$929 Vol.
5%
34°C
$369 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$417 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international sources indicate a warm, humid air mass under the North Pacific High will drive daytime highs in Busan near 30–32°C on August 15, with 31°C emerging as the market leader due to consensus runs showing limited daytime heating from cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms. Typical August climatology supports this range, with historical averages near 30°C and frequent tropical nights, though steering patterns and precipitation timing introduce modest uncertainty that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh these model outputs heavily against the risk of stronger convection capping temperatures closer to 30°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$10,960End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international sources indicate a warm, humid air mass under the North Pacific High will drive daytime highs in Busan near 30–32°C on August 15, with 31°C emerging as the market leader due to consensus runs showing limited daytime heating from cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms. Typical August climatology supports this range, with historical averages near 30°C and frequent tropical nights, though steering patterns and precipitation timing introduce modest uncertainty that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh these model outputs heavily against the risk of stronger convection capping temperatures closer to 30°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,960End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international sources indicate a warm, humid air mass under the North Pacific High will drive daytime highs in Busan near 30–32°C on August 15, with 31°C emerging as the market leader due to consensus runs showing limited daytime heating from cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms. Typical August climatology supports this range, with historical averages near 30°C and frequent tropical nights, though steering patterns and precipitation timing introduce modest uncertainty that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh these model outputs heavily against the risk of stronger convection capping temperatures closer to 30°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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