Current forecasts from meteorological agencies point to typical mid-August overnight cooling patterns across the Paris region, with radiative heat loss under clear or partly cloudy skies supporting a minimum temperature at or below 20°C. Model consensus from sources tracking European surface observations shows this aligns with climatological baselines for the date, where average lows hover near 15–16°C absent extreme heat retention. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in these conditions resolving the market, given the narrow uncertainty range in short-term guidance. Only a significant shift in steering patterns or unexpected urban heat island amplification could push the recorded minimum above 20°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on August 14?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 14?
20°C or below 99.9%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$12,956 Vol.
$12,956 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
20°C or below
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
20°C or below 99.9%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$12,956 Vol.
$12,956 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
20°C or below
$2,119 Vol.
100%
21°C
$2,622 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,712 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$570 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,353 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,130 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$323 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$289 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$279 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$279 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$280 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies point to typical mid-August overnight cooling patterns across the Paris region, with radiative heat loss under clear or partly cloudy skies supporting a minimum temperature at or below 20°C. Model consensus from sources tracking European surface observations shows this aligns with climatological baselines for the date, where average lows hover near 15–16°C absent extreme heat retention. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in these conditions resolving the market, given the narrow uncertainty range in short-term guidance. Only a significant shift in steering patterns or unexpected urban heat island amplification could push the recorded minimum above 20°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ET
Volume
$12,956End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies point to typical mid-August overnight cooling patterns across the Paris region, with radiative heat loss under clear or partly cloudy skies supporting a minimum temperature at or below 20°C. Model consensus from sources tracking European surface observations shows this aligns with climatological baselines for the date, where average lows hover near 15–16°C absent extreme heat retention. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in these conditions resolving the market, given the narrow uncertainty range in short-term guidance. Only a significant shift in steering patterns or unexpected urban heat island amplification could push the recorded minimum above 20°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,956End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological agencies point to typical mid-August overnight cooling patterns across the Paris region, with radiative heat loss under clear or partly cloudy skies supporting a minimum temperature at or below 20°C. Model consensus from sources tracking European surface observations shows this aligns with climatological baselines for the date, where average lows hover near 15–16°C absent extreme heat retention. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in these conditions resolving the market, given the narrow uncertainty range in short-term guidance. Only a significant shift in steering patterns or unexpected urban heat island amplification could push the recorded minimum above 20°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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