Trader consensus strongly favors a 27°C high in Istanbul on August 14 due to converging official forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and regional models projecting a maximum near that level under sunny skies and moderate northerly flow. Typical August climatology places daytime highs around 27–28°C, with current synoptic patterns showing stable high pressure and limited cloud cover that supports diurnal warming to this range without exceeding it. Recent model runs have narrowed uncertainty around peak temperatures, though urban heat island effects and exact wind timing introduce minor variability before final observational data from Turkish meteorological services resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 14?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 14?
27°C 88%
28°C 8.9%
29°C 2.2%
30°C <1%
$45,817 Vol.
$45,817 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
88%
28°C
9%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 88%
28°C 8.9%
29°C 2.2%
30°C <1%
$45,817 Vol.
$45,817 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
23°C or below
$569 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$11,156 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$6,465 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$7,926 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,973 Vol.
88%
28°C
$3,816 Vol.
9%
29°C
$3,006 Vol.
2%
30°C
$3,252 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$633 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$864 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$3,157 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors a 27°C high in Istanbul on August 14 due to converging official forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and regional models projecting a maximum near that level under sunny skies and moderate northerly flow. Typical August climatology places daytime highs around 27–28°C, with current synoptic patterns showing stable high pressure and limited cloud cover that supports diurnal warming to this range without exceeding it. Recent model runs have narrowed uncertainty around peak temperatures, though urban heat island effects and exact wind timing introduce minor variability before final observational data from Turkish meteorological services resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$45,817End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors a 27°C high in Istanbul on August 14 due to converging official forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and regional models projecting a maximum near that level under sunny skies and moderate northerly flow. Typical August climatology places daytime highs around 27–28°C, with current synoptic patterns showing stable high pressure and limited cloud cover that supports diurnal warming to this range without exceeding it. Recent model runs have narrowed uncertainty around peak temperatures, though urban heat island effects and exact wind timing introduce minor variability before final observational data from Turkish meteorological services resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$45,817End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors a 27°C high in Istanbul on August 14 due to converging official forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and regional models projecting a maximum near that level under sunny skies and moderate northerly flow. Typical August climatology places daytime highs around 27–28°C, with current synoptic patterns showing stable high pressure and limited cloud cover that supports diurnal warming to this range without exceeding it. Recent model runs have narrowed uncertainty around peak temperatures, though urban heat island effects and exact wind timing introduce minor variability before final observational data from Turkish meteorological services resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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