Trader consensus on the Seoul/Incheon high for August 14 centers overwhelmingly on 30°C, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration observations through midday showing maxima stabilizing near this level amid mostly cloudy skies, light winds, and moderate humidity that limits surface heating. Short-range model guidance aligns with mid-August climatology, where typical peaks fall in the 30–33°C range before any late-day convective cooling or precipitation. This skin-in-the-game assessment incorporates verified station data rather than longer-range projections. A rapid clearing of cloud cover or stronger subsidence could allow brief spikes toward 31–32°C, though current atmospheric conditions and ongoing moisture make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 14?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 14?
30°C 99.8%
31°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
$95,714 Vol.
$95,714 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 99.8%
31°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
$95,714 Vol.
$95,714 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
26°C or below
$372 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,044 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$7,057 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$5,251 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$35,166 Vol.
100%
31°C
$20,432 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$14,285 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$6,694 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$3,150 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,521 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$798 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Seoul/Incheon high for August 14 centers overwhelmingly on 30°C, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration observations through midday showing maxima stabilizing near this level amid mostly cloudy skies, light winds, and moderate humidity that limits surface heating. Short-range model guidance aligns with mid-August climatology, where typical peaks fall in the 30–33°C range before any late-day convective cooling or precipitation. This skin-in-the-game assessment incorporates verified station data rather than longer-range projections. A rapid clearing of cloud cover or stronger subsidence could allow brief spikes toward 31–32°C, though current atmospheric conditions and ongoing moisture make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$95,714End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Seoul/Incheon high for August 14 centers overwhelmingly on 30°C, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration observations through midday showing maxima stabilizing near this level amid mostly cloudy skies, light winds, and moderate humidity that limits surface heating. Short-range model guidance aligns with mid-August climatology, where typical peaks fall in the 30–33°C range before any late-day convective cooling or precipitation. This skin-in-the-game assessment incorporates verified station data rather than longer-range projections. A rapid clearing of cloud cover or stronger subsidence could allow brief spikes toward 31–32°C, though current atmospheric conditions and ongoing moisture make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$95,714End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Seoul/Incheon high for August 14 centers overwhelmingly on 30°C, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration observations through midday showing maxima stabilizing near this level amid mostly cloudy skies, light winds, and moderate humidity that limits surface heating. Short-range model guidance aligns with mid-August climatology, where typical peaks fall in the 30–33°C range before any late-day convective cooling or precipitation. This skin-in-the-game assessment incorporates verified station data rather than longer-range projections. A rapid clearing of cloud cover or stronger subsidence could allow brief spikes toward 31–32°C, though current atmospheric conditions and ongoing moisture make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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