Trader consensus heavily favors a 26°C minimum in Karachi on September 3, reflecting consistent forecast model outputs and climatological baselines for late-monsoon conditions. Official guidance from regional meteorological sources projects overnight lows near 26–27°C amid partly cloudy skies, moderate southwesterly winds, and humidity levels sustaining radiative cooling near historical September averages of 25–26°C. Recent observations show no significant cold-air intrusions or heavy precipitation that would depress temperatures further, while model consensus across short-range runs reinforces this narrow range. A realistic shift toward 25°C or below would require unexpected cloud increases or localized rain enhancing cooling, though current atmospheric patterns make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on September 3?
26°C 93%
21°C or below 9%
24°C 3%
25°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
21°C or below
9%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
24%
26°C
93%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 93%
21°C or below 9%
24°C 3%
25°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
21°C or below
$112 Vol.
9%
22°C
$39 Vol.
1%
23°C
$107 Vol.
1%
24°C
$150 Vol.
3%
25°C
$122 Vol.
24%
26°C
$345 Vol.
93%
27°C
$1,028 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$370 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$20 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 26°C minimum in Karachi on September 3, reflecting consistent forecast model outputs and climatological baselines for late-monsoon conditions. Official guidance from regional meteorological sources projects overnight lows near 26–27°C amid partly cloudy skies, moderate southwesterly winds, and humidity levels sustaining radiative cooling near historical September averages of 25–26°C. Recent observations show no significant cold-air intrusions or heavy precipitation that would depress temperatures further, while model consensus across short-range runs reinforces this narrow range. A realistic shift toward 25°C or below would require unexpected cloud increases or localized rain enhancing cooling, though current atmospheric patterns make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$2,312End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 26°C minimum in Karachi on September 3, reflecting consistent forecast model outputs and climatological baselines for late-monsoon conditions. Official guidance from regional meteorological sources projects overnight lows near 26–27°C amid partly cloudy skies, moderate southwesterly winds, and humidity levels sustaining radiative cooling near historical September averages of 25–26°C. Recent observations show no significant cold-air intrusions or heavy precipitation that would depress temperatures further, while model consensus across short-range runs reinforces this narrow range. A realistic shift toward 25°C or below would require unexpected cloud increases or localized rain enhancing cooling, though current atmospheric patterns make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,312End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a 26°C minimum in Karachi on September 3, reflecting consistent forecast model outputs and climatological baselines for late-monsoon conditions. Official guidance from regional meteorological sources projects overnight lows near 26–27°C amid partly cloudy skies, moderate southwesterly winds, and humidity levels sustaining radiative cooling near historical September averages of 25–26°C. Recent observations show no significant cold-air intrusions or heavy precipitation that would depress temperatures further, while model consensus across short-range runs reinforces this narrow range. A realistic shift toward 25°C or below would require unexpected cloud increases or localized rain enhancing cooling, though current atmospheric patterns make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions